The Chinese inflation seems under control. The index of consumer prices continued to rise in February to 2.7% but remains below the 3% limit set by the government. This figure was drawn by the waltz of the labels of food products due to appalling weather conditions and to celebrate the Lunar New Year.

The Chinese authorities remain confident. "We believe that rising prices will remain moderate and controllable. So we must stabilize inflation expectations, "said a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The owner of the Banking Regulatory Commission, Liu Mingkang, displays the same serenity: "Do not worry about inflation.The index of consumer prices and the index of producer prices could increase slightly "in view of the process" complicated "global economic recovery," but only moderate inflation is unlikely.

Still, the resumption of exports has caused a jump in industrial production by 20.7% over the first two months of the year. Investments in fixed assets (buildings, factories, equipment, …) it has boomed by 26.6% over the same period. Domestic demand is no exception, retail sales rose by 17.9% yoy in January-February.

Still, "we do not believe the inflation risk," wrote in a note Xu Bei, economist at Natixis. She recalls that the figures are distorted by a base effect, the statistics of early 2009 was very low because of the crisis."By comparing the price index of the beginning of this year compared to 2008, the price increase is only 1%."

The government, on the other hand, already started to tighten monetary policy to prevent a runaway economy and prices. It set to 7.500 billion yuan (800 billion euros) the level of loans does not exceed by banks in 2010, against 9590 billion yuan last year. The effect would be felt in February: Chinese institutions have issued 700.1 billion yuan this month, almost two times less than in January (1.390 billion yuan).