8 Sep
A new session is bearish view on the Paris Bourse. In the wake of the fence on U.S. exchanges, Tuesday, Wednesday and Asia, markets in Paris are expected to open lower on Wednesday. Around 10:00, the CAC 40 was down 0.67% at 3619.58 points at the opening. The London Stock Exchange lost 0.53% to 5,379.19 points and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange abandoned à6092 0.42%, 15 points.
Tuesday, Wall Street and the Paris Stock Exchange ended the session with declines of more than 1%, hit by banking shares. As for Asian markets, they all move in the red, the Tokyo Stock Exchange in mind, after the yen hit a high.
The deficit decreases
On the macroeconomic front, the Fed will release its Beige Book this evening at 20 hours.Although unemployment figures better than expected, released last Friday, the U.S. central bank should continue to keep interest rates low.
A second estimate released Wednesday by the Bank of France, the gross domestic product of France is expected to grow 0.3% in the third quarter. It is unchanged from the first.
The deficit of state budget reduction. It amounted to 93.1 billion euros at end-July against 108.8 billion a year earlier, according to figures from the Ministry of Budget.Moreover, the trade deficit widened to 4.2 billion euros in July against 3.718 billion the previous month, seasonally adjusted data.
On the currency markets, the euro is recovering, to 8:00, after losing 1.46% Tuesday: the single currency was worth 1.2720 dollars.
Bank stocks remain in the viewfinder
As for companies, no publication of results is expected this Wednesday. Scor has unveiled its strategic plan to investors 2010-2013. The group has set a target organic growth of around 5% per annum. The shares were up 1% to 17.22 euros.
Chris Viehbacher, the CEO of Sanofi-Aventis, has met with several shareholders of Genzyme said Tuesday that the French laboratory. One analyst, management will have met half of the shareholders of Genzyme Wednesday night and could then make a decision on his project.The value displays one of the largest increases of ACC 40: 0.58% to 47.10 euros.GDF Suez and Lafarge completed the podium around 9:30 respsectives with increases of 0.89% (26.52 euros) and 0.85% (39.10 euros).
The Board of Directors of EDF (+0.30% at 32.93 euros) has approved the sale of its electricity distribution network in British Hong Kong Cheung Kong consortium, which will reduce its net debt by 6 8 billion euros, said the group chaired by Henri Proglio Wednesday in a statement.
LVL Medical (+0.52% to 15.48 euros), whose action has been suspended from trading on Tuesday, has filed with the Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF) a draft bid on simplified maximum 6% of its capital at a price of 20 euros per share, in the program to repurchase its securities, may be read on Tuesday on the website of the AMF.
Bank stocks in free fall
Conversely, the bank stocks seem to be on Tuesday in upper range of the steepest declines the CAC 40. BNP Paribas lost 1.12% to 52.14 euros (after a decline of 2.17% Tuesday), Societe Generale was down 1.65% to 41.90 euros (-3.85% Tuesday), Credit Agricole a coward , 79% to EUR 10.39 (-2.32% to 10.58 euros) and Dexia drops 3.75% to 3.24 euros (-3.39% after Tuesday). Their American counterparts have lost between 2% and 4% on Tuesday, the biggest drop was conducted by Morgan Stanley (-3.71%).The Barclays shows a net decrease of 1.13% to 310.45 pence after falling 5.57%, following the appointment to head the controversial Bob Diamond.
France Telecom (-0.09% to 16.06 euros) issued 50 million of 3.375% with coupons expire in 2022, and the resale price of 99.35%, representing a return of 75 points base over the swap curve. The group also denied a merger with Deutsche Telekom, after Deutsche Bank has exceeded the threshold of 5% stake in telecommunications group.
Louis Welsh fear a falling dollar
Boeing has not ruled out Tuesday the possibility of reducing the price of its bid to build 179 tanker aircraft for the U.S. military. The reaction of the stock price of its European rival, EADS (-0.36% to 18.11 euros), is expected.In an interview published in Le Nouvel Observateur on Thursday, its president, Louis Welsh, expresses fears that the dollar weakened. The EADS subsidiary Airbus, sells aircraft in dollars, but supports most of its production costs in euros.
Artemis, the holding company controlling PPR (-0.28% to 106.90 euros), Tuesday issued 600 million euros of bonds exchangeable for existing shares PPR to lengthen the average maturity of its debt. Under the final terms of the transaction, the nominal value of bonds, set at 139.90 euros, shows a 31% premium over the reference price of the PPR share.
CNP Assurances (-0.21% to 14.12 euros) has issued 750 million euros in bonds paid 6.0% and maturing in 2040 with a premium of 347.2 basis points above the swap curve.
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A lost decade for stocks in Paris. In the past ten years, the CAC 40 has gone through five years of crisis. The toll was heavy: while September 4, 2000, the benchmark index of the Paris stock touched its record high, rating it at 6944.77 points at the meeting, boosted by a phenomenal Internet bubble, he moves painfully about the 3600 points TODAY 'hui.
If the current situation is rather gloomy, the atmosphere, in the late 1990s, was euphoric to say the least. The tech bubble that began in 1995 with the IPO of Netscape – sensational – escalated beyond reason with the explosive growth of telecommunications (France Telecom was by far the largest accumulation of ACC 40) and the phenomenon of start-ups. The world has welcomed the Internet as a revolution that would change the world, characterized by prosperity, easy money and speculation.The shares were outbid unconnected with the reality of companies' accounts.
When the time has come to the realization, the descent into hell has begun. On March 13, 2000 in New York, the Nasdaq index of technology stocks at the time (eBay, Yahoo, AOL …) suddenly picks up and puts an end to five years of consecutive increase. The European market will suffer a few months later and will suffer the same mass layoffs.
30 Aug
Rollaway odd jobs "black" companies "forget" to declare certain benefits … The small and big tricks to earn more without paying taxes or social security in developed countries are becoming increasingly common thanks to crisis. In escaping the state controls, individuals like firms engage in what economists call the informal economy, or underground.
"Because of the economic crisis, the shadow economy in 2010 will have increased in developed countries, after rising in 2009, wrote in a recent study by Friedrich Schneider, Austrian economist and specialist in the informal economy. According to his calculations, the share of the unofficial economy in the gross domestic product (GDP) in OECD countries rose by 13.3% in 2008 to 14% in 2010.In France, this ratio increased from 11.1% to 11.7%.
The increase may seem small, but it puts an end to the downward trend going back to the late 1990s. The Baltic and Mediterranean European countries experiencing the highest ratios. The shadow economy represents 25% of GDP in Greece and around 40% in Latvia and Estonia, as the work of Schneider. So many countries where the crisis hit harder than elsewhere.
To compensate for loss of income
Job losses, layoffs … revenue base with the crisis. "Many people try to compensate for their declining revenues through greater participation in informal transactions," says Friedrich Schneider.Among the top sectors fueling the underground economy, are the building trades and crafts, including the restoration, "he observes.
The underground economy is not always a bad thing. "I think the increase in informal activities during a crisis can avoid a recession even greater," said Friedrich Schneider. "Individuals and businesses earn more money, they can spend in the formal economy."
Fraud Investigations
In the Directorate of Legislation, recovery and service (Dirr), we measure the effects of the crisis on French companies thanks to anti-fraud investigations conducted in 2009. "A society that has problems is more likely to be in violation," said executive vice president of control, Jean-Michel Guerra.
To avoid bloodshed, but the controllers have been instructed to be conciliatory. The time granted in 2009 to companies in trouble when adjustments on previous years, usually stable, jumped 58%. Still, delinquencies have increased during the recovery of a half point, to 1.45%, from 12.5 billion euros.
One last figure: last year, the number of minutes prepared for working illegally jumped 27%, in part, it is true, thanks to control operations more focused and more frequent. The crisis should be felt in the figures of the anti-fraud encopre for several years. The controls on the activities of companies are indeed made for two to three years thereafter.
22 Aug
The Dow Jones has evolved in the red throughout the session Friday in a trading day lendeamin déhjà very heckled.
After biting the nose in the first hour of trading, the benchmark index of Wall Street still has erased much of its losses. At closing, it fell by 0.56% to 10,213.62 points. The S & P 500 fold, from 0.37% to its 1071.69 points. While the Nasdaq managed to regain the green, scrounge 0.04% to 2179.76 points.
U.S. stocks have relapsed this week, especially Thursday and Friday amid renewed fears of further slowdown in activity, even recession.
"There is an internal struggle within the market right now, between the flow of economic indicators is rather disappointing for 48 hours and the balancing force that represents the multiplication of impressive announcements of mergers and acquisitions," noted Craig Peckham, Jefferies ."The market tries to anticipate a downward revision to corporate profits, which has not yet taken place, added the analyst.
Thursday night the U.S. stock markets were sharply accused the coup after the publication of bad numbers, especially on the employment front. In fact, new listings weekly unemployment rose by 12,000 for up to 500,000, while economists had forecast a drop instead. This setback has undermined all European stock exchanges, down nearly 2% on Thursday evening. The stock, Wall Street head, are more worried about the U.S. recovery is becoming increasingly threatened, yesterday, two other macroeconomic indicators have further disappointing disappointment consecutive ill-digit unemployment in the industrial activity Philadelphia region has not improved as the markets would have liked.The composite index of leading indicators the Conference Board is certainly left in timid increase, but suggests "a very slow recovery until the end of the year."
The earnings season gives way to mergers and acquisitions …
On the corporate side, while all the companies in the Dow Jones have now released their quarterly earnings, mergers and acquisitions also certainly inspire markets.But if they reassure investors about the health of businesses able to play cash on the table, they can not counter the extreme distrust aroused by signs of a growing number of weak U.S. recovery.
GAP (2.48% to 18.15 dollars) is reaping the fruits of this Friday's announcement the day before the quarterly earnings above expectations, thanks to the rebound in sales recorded by its brands Banana Republic and Old Navy.
PT (-0.86% to 40.42 dollars) and Dell (0.11% to 12.05 dollars) will be closed on the ball quarterly results.HP has shone with a quarterly profit up 6%, and Dell has not been left behind, with sales and earnings above expectations for the second quarter and expects a continued recovery in demand professionals for PCs in the coming quarters.
The world leader in microprocessors, Intel, announced on Thursday that he offered the world's number two computer security, Mc Afee (-0.07% after 57% yesterday), $ 7.6 billion .
While the hostile bid from BHP Billiton (-0.97% to 66.70 U.S. dollars) Potash (-0.75% to 147.72 dollars) continues to make waves on the Stock Exchange (Fitch Ratings has put on hold BHP Billiton), the offensive yesterday from Dell, the German publisher of software Wirecard rose Friday on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange after the entry by traders of a possible interest of Visa for the company.The title Wirecard advanced 2.05% to 8.71 euros while the action Visa German Stock Exchange fell by 0.35% to 55.69 euros. Visa back on Friday from 0.39% to 71.35 dollars.
Boeing (-0.59% to 64.24 dollars). The United States announced Thursday that they were using, like the European Union a month earlier, the ruling in June by the World Trade Organization (WTO) in the dispute over public funding for the aircraft manufacturer Airbus. It was also learned that Thai Airways talks with Boeing and EADS for 30 aircraft
26 Jun
The talks promise to be lively this weekend in Toronto, Canada. Indeed, at a time when opening the G8 summit followed the G20 this weekend, the participants have already stated their differences. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) published its "Ten Commandments" for developed countries to help them reduce their public deficits. The institution advocates the lower ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP) and the rapid adoption of reforms of pensions and health insurance, saying the current system "not viable". For its part, the World Bank puts the G20 in warning against a decline of international aid.According to her, "continued favorable investment growth in infrastructure and human capital in a context of declining tax revenues will be especially difficult if the current financial and economic causes a decline in international aid and increased competition for global savings collect ".
Tensions Europe-USA
Fiscal policy is most appropriate in this period of feverish economic recovery does not unanimous. Two camps. On the one hand, the United States continue to warn against their European counterparts the implementation of drastic measures to reduce deficits, negative effects in a context of slow growth recovery instant payday loans.On the other hand, Germany and the United Kingdom both advocate the establishment of strict policies and able to quickly reduce debt levels and thus avoid repeating the same scenario as in Greece. Already, the British Prime Minister David Cameron has claimed he wants to avoid making a single event in Toronto "salon where they cause". In an article published in the Globe and Mail, he called on participating countries to take action.
Burning issue of the yuan
And it's already done China. While the international community, particularly the United States, pushed for China values its currency, the country has lowered its reference rate of exchange to its lowest level in five years this morning, thus enhancing the value of the yuan against the dollar.The institute has decided on a central rate up 0.3% to 6.7896 yuan against the dollar.
In addition, banks expect to them, to have won a battle in convincing the Basel Committee to reduce the level of capital adequacy requirements. The regulatory measures affecting them shall be presented this weekend as part of the debate on global financial regulation.
15 Jun
The latest employment figures have clearly welcomed the Secretary of State for Trade, Herve Novelli. In its latest publication on the subject, INSEE reported a sharp increase in the number of jobs created in the sectors of hotels and restaurants since the introduction of VAT at 5.5% 1 July 2009. Indeed it is 22,900 jobs were created last year, says the Institute.
Going a little faster than the music, the Secretary of State for Trade, Herve Novelli, was once praised as "the goal set by the government, 20,000 new jobs in two years is, in less than one year, not only met but exceeded " payday loan companies. A statement not entirely accurate.
For the future contract signed last July it clear that the restaurants have pledged to create 20,000 jobs in two years, beyond the 15,000 jobs a year usually created by the sector. By creating 22,900 jobs since the fall of VAT, the restaurateurs have established that 7,900 additional. They are thus far have exceeded one year the target set by the government in terms of jobs. But they still have a year to catch up.
3 Apr
After the dispute over bonuses for traders, another controversy begins with the prospect this time of a world … without traders: a world where stock computers more powerful have gradually replaced the human operator. The equity market out there more effective and more transparent? Not sure … The subject, in any case, is taken very seriously by the authorities on both sides of the Atlantic.
After the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) on the U.S. stock market watchdog, the Committee of European market regulators (CESR) has launched a consultation to professionals on market transactions with high frequency (high frequency trading).This technique involves placing orders to buy and sell within a period of time less than a millisecond, to take advantage of price differences between the two tiny, but multiplied by a considerable number of daily transactions, sufficient to notch margins fine: $ 21 billion U.S. last year, according to analysts at Tabb.
Battle of nanoseconds
Hence the irresistible rise of such interventions. According to the consulting firm Aite Group, the high frequency trading carries 25% of share trading in Europe, and should reach 30% by the end of the year, 45% in 2012. This practice has exploded with the introduction in 2007 of the Directive on Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) in Europe, which ended the monopoly of traditional stock exchanges.CHI-X Turquoise platform "alternatives" have sprung up, multiplying the choices for investors, but also offering the ability to expertly programmed computers to track the price differentials and sequences of commands Lowest fee payday loans . No wonder so if the authorities are investigating the European stock market activity, when the board of Europe more generally on a revision of its Directive.
Investment banks and hedge funds that have mounted these high frequency trading departments provide positive forces in the markets to which they provide liquidity. Institutional investors, however, complain that these houses are able to guess their market interventions and scrounge margins at their expense.Algorithms malignant or spyware? The managers complain and an increase in canceled orders that would, according to them, to test their appetite.
Finally, the rise of high speed trading results in a frantic race technology firms involving microprocessors and platforms for exchange. With unintended consequences at the time of dematerialisation. When the thousandth of a second makes the difference, distance becomes a key performance! The need to get physically close to its customers hyperactive, explains in part why NYSE Euronext has moved from Paris to the outskirts of London, the bulk of its teams.
As more servers are close, less latency is high, the waiting time is the obsession with automata."There are already discussions on the latencies between Inner London and its suburbs," recounts a close transatlantic business market. Regulators to respond if this battle has nanoseconds or night markets.
27 Mar
United and satisfied: the European family welcomed Friday to have averted a major crisis, after having reached an agreement Thursday to come to the aid of Greece when the latter feels the need. "The euro area takes its destiny in hand, welcomed Nicolas Sarkozy, speaking of" not major "countries in the euro area. After the tensions of recent weeks, the French president stressed the agreement between France and Germany. "I think it was a relief for all of Europe to see that we were able, in the service of the European ideal, to reach an agreement," he said.
Angela Merkel has also spoken of "important day for the euro, saying" very satisfied "with the agreement reached.Indeed, the Germans have left their mark on this mechanism: they did accept the principle of a partially provided by the IMF and obtained a de facto veto power, since the aid plan can be triggered that with the unanimous agreement of the Twenty-September But Berlin has not sacrificed as much for the idea of Europe, has assured the Chancellor, compared to the "Iron Lady" Margaret Thatcher into the German press. "These decisions show that Member States will not allow the euro area is destabilized and solidarity that exists," she stressed.
European officials have reiterated that no good practical help and had been decided that the goal was paradoxically not use the device. "We hope it will not need to be activated," assured the President of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy.The idea is enough to reassure markets that they agree to lend again to Greece at lower rates. The initial results were encouraging faxless cash advance . On Friday, the risk premium difference between good Greek and German 10-year fell by 9 basis points to 304 points. One that is still very high.
Build trust
In Athens, the relief was palpable. The agreement sends "a very positive signal to markets," assured the Prime Minister George Papandreou and the government will launch a new loan "timely."
The European Awards for their part, reacted mixed, while the euro was on top of $ 1.34 (it had plunged to below $ 1.33 before the summit)."I hope that financial markets will now act on facts, not fiction," said President of the European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso.
It is indeed crucial to build trust. "There is no country that is in a situation comparable to that of Greece, on Friday assured the leader of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker. But markets fear a domino effect. Portugal is the first line, which has seen its rating deteriorated by Fitch. Ireland, Italy and Spain are on a tightrope, with their finances well into the red. More broadly, 20 states on 27 of the EU are subject to excessive deficit procedure; this week, the Commission expressed concern about their optimism about their strategy for ending the crisis.And for Economic Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn, "this year will be the first real test for the implementation of the budget strategy adopted last year.
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17 Mar
PSG back, this time on the judicial scene. Since last Monday, said the trial of "questionable transfers" opened at the Paris Correctional Court.
At the helm, Lawrence Perp?re and Francis Graille, the presidents of the football club Paris at the time, the club itself, Nike France, two of its leaders and new players' agents, referred to "forgery and using false and unauthorized practice of the profession of players, like Richard Bettoni or Rako Stojic.No player is concerned, even if they could tax adjustments.
Between 1998 and 2003, the PSG players like Ali Bernabia or Ronaldinho would have received salary supplements that enabled PSG to pay less payroll and players less taxes, as magistrates pole of the Palais de Justice , Paris Renaud van Ruymbeke and Fran?oise Desset, who are investigating this issue since 2005.
Fictitiously inflating their role and responsibility, all 25 players involved have been inflating their commissions, and creating images contracts with Nike, they hit pay additional cash advance . These are the components of the charge.
The image rights dispute
The President, Quentin Chantal, the court stated that "some abuse of social good has been a non-place '.In other words, there was no personal enrichment.
On the image rights of players, Nike France says she bought them with consideration. But the president noted the "messages" which, for the prosecution proves the carat?re fraudulent transactions between Nike and the PSG. "If it happened that the sponsorship contract is terminated, the PSG is committed to guarantee the payment of such sums," Francis Graille mentioned in a note.
This issue of image rights will be discussed on Tuesday and Wednesday. The trial is expected to end April 14. The three remaining weeks will be spent on transfers.
The defendants face up to three years imprisonment and 225,000 euros fine for corporations. PSG may also pay 5.8 million euros that could be claimed by Urssaf.
9 Feb
After the sharp market downturn in Paris last weekend, with the Cac 40 lost nearly 7% in 48 hours, optimism is in order at the beginning of the week in the Paris Bourse. Around 10:30 am, the CAC 40 is up over 1.2% to 3607 points.
On the macroeconomic front, gross domestic product (GDP) of France is expected to grow by 0.5% in first quarter 2010, according to a first estimate of the Banque de France (BdF) on Monday.
The latest forecast from the National Institute of Statistics (INSEE) published December 17, the economic recovery in France will be confirmed in early 2010 but will be "laborious and delicate, with a growth of around 0.3 % to 0.4% per quarter until midyear.
The government recently revised upward its growth forecast for this year, rose 0.75% to 1.4% in the revised budget.
INSEE has published Friday its first figures on French growth in the last quarter of 2009.The government forecasts a GDP drop of 2.25% over the last year.
As for values, the revival of this earlier this week arises: half a dozen values were lower at the opening.
Dexia climbed after strong green light from Brussels
The year 2010 will be tougher than 2009 for the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia (6.56% to 4.29 euros) due to the acceleration of the implementation of its restructuring plan which has received the green light with Brussels, said Sunday the group's managing director.
EDF (+1.54% at 38.20 euros) and Areva (0.45% to 313.75 euros) announced late Friday it reached an agreement on the processing of uranium used in nuclear power plants of 'electrician question at the heart of a dispute between the two groups for several weeks payday advance online .The CEO of EADS (+0.04% at 14.11 euros), Louis Welsh said in Munich last Saturday he expected a "clarification" on the financing of additional costs for the Airbus A400M military "before the end of next week. "
GDF Suez (+1.05% at 26.50 euros) could revise its bid for International Power Plc, particularly the terms of its offer in cash, reports the Independent on Sunday, citing sources close to the French group.
The Autorit? des march?s financiers (AMF) has asked for new commitments to B?lv?d?re (-5.28% to 34.07 euros) in the case of warrants, which in recent weeks between the group of spirits Association Defense of Minority Shareholders (ADAM).
Bongrain (-1.68% to 55.53 euros) has reported a turnover down 7.4% on a comparable basis in 2009, affected by unfavorable economic environment.
Eiffage (+0.68% at 36.42 euros) was able to stabilize its sales in 2009 thanks to a rebound in activity in the fourth quarter.
Several publications of companies are expected on Monday: Altran Technologies (-1.18% to 4.20 euros) pre-market Unibail Rodamco (-0.80% to 155 euros) after-hours trading, Le Noble Age (-1, 72% to 15.40 euros) and Devoteam (stable at 18.50 euros). Faurecia brings an extraordinary general meeting regarding the capital increase related to the repurchase of Emcon.