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The Chinese inflation seems under control. The index of consumer prices continued to rise in February to 2.7% but remains below the 3% limit set by the government. This figure was drawn by the waltz of the labels of food products due to appalling weather conditions and to celebrate the Lunar New Year.

The Chinese authorities remain confident. "We believe that rising prices will remain moderate and controllable. So we must stabilize inflation expectations, "said a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The owner of the Banking Regulatory Commission, Liu Mingkang, displays the same serenity: "Do not worry about inflation.The index of consumer prices and the index of producer prices could increase slightly "in view of the process" complicated "global economic recovery," but only moderate inflation is unlikely.

Still, the resumption of exports has caused a jump in industrial production by 20.7% over the first two months of the year. Investments in fixed assets (buildings, factories, equipment, …) it has boomed by 26.6% over the same period. Domestic demand is no exception, retail sales rose by 17.9% yoy in January-February.

Still, "we do not believe the inflation risk," wrote in a note Xu Bei, economist at Natixis. She recalls that the figures are distorted by a base effect, the statistics of early 2009 was very low because of the crisis."By comparing the price index of the beginning of this year compared to 2008, the price increase is only 1%."

The government, on the other hand, already started to tighten monetary policy to prevent a runaway economy and prices. It set to 7.500 billion yuan (800 billion euros) the level of loans does not exceed by banks in 2010, against 9590 billion yuan last year. The effect would be felt in February: Chinese institutions have issued 700.1 billion yuan this month, almost two times less than in January (1.390 billion yuan).

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  • Validated: This morning during a special Board of Directors, France Televisions has decided to enter into exclusive negotiations for the privatization of its governed France Televisions with Lov Financial Advertising and Publicis.

    Only staff representatives voted against while Dominique Wolton abstained after proposing to delay the decision. Indeed, Patrick de Carolis, president of France Televisions has written his "tutelage" in this case Christine Lagarde and François Fillon asking them to affirm the necessity of selling the board even though a number of parliamentarians proposes maintaining advertising day.The president of France Televisions would, however, felt it unnecessary to await the reply of the State to initiate this discussion and even exclusive it would be absolutely necessary for "guarantees" about possible conflicts of interest with a buyer Stéphane Courbit, who is also a supplier of programs for antenna France Televisions payday loan .

    Side employees and representatives are upset that the proposals of the candidates certify the absence of socially for three years for the Metropolitan France. They argue that the end of the pub on their RFO does not give sufficient guarantees in respect of employment.

    "We have a bitter taste," said the representatives of the CGT – the majority union at France Televisions."We feel that the assets of the company is sold off and we find this shocking distinction between employees of the Hexagon and those DomTom. Finally we fear that in a few weeks all realize that this assignment was useless because of changing legal requirements.

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  • Oxygen to the Paris Bourse

    Finally! After six sessions of declines, the Bourse de Paris displays a better form. In the green at the opening, the CAC 40 – which posted a gain of 0.46% to 3705 points in early trading – has continued to display good orientation to the closing up 1.37% in 3739, 46 points, boosted from 15 hours through the publication of the first estimate of GDP in the United States for the fourth quarter of 2009. She stood at 5.7% (5.4% on average expected).

    According to Christian Parisot, head of economic research at Aurel, "this figure is reassuring for markets and for the future." But that rebound is partly 'technical', relativize does. He explained to the tune of 3.4 points from a "stock effect". Croissancedu the fourth quarter will be weaker in the first quarter of 2010, he said.

    Markets have also been able to welcome the extension to the head of the Fed Ben Bernanke.In choosing the U.S. Senate is also banking on a continuation of the current monetary policy, marked by very low rates. The news is welcome.

    Across the Atlantic, the figures of industrial activity in the Chicago area for January were also pleasantly surprised: ISM index rose to 61.5. Then, ten minutes tardn it was the turn of consumer confidence as measured by the University of Michigan to give pleasure: it has been revised upward to 74.4, reaching its highest level in two years.

    The LSE has also finished up Friday, the FTSE-100 index of leading values winning 42.78 points, or 0.83% over the closing Thursday at 5188.52 points. On Wall Street, the trend is still upwards, two hours after opening.

    However, we must put this meeting (plus up to 3764.6 points), including a portion of the increase is purely technical: the week, the CAC 40 surrendered 2.2%, and the peak of the last five session was reached Monday at 3831.8 points …And last week it had dropped as much as 4.9% …

    European unemployment 10%

    This morning, the European Central Bank announced that the M3 had contracted by 0.2% in December from a year in the euro area, less than expected by markets, while private sector credit remained stable.

    Unemployment in the eurozone has reached the threshold of 10% in December, its highest level ever reached since the creation of the single currency of eleven years ago, according to data released Friday by the European statistics office Eurostat.

    Inflation, which was as expected, has accelerated in January, 1% a year from 0.9% in December, according to a first estimate published by Eurostat this venrdedi.

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  • Club Med put on China to recover

    The French specialist travel products and leisure announced Friday a loss of 53 million euros from 1 November 2008 and October 31, 2009 against a profit of 2 million euros a year earlier. The 21 million euros in restructuring costs weighed heavily on the results, detailing the release of the group.

    The global economic crisis, which has particularly affected the tourism sector premium has resulted in a decrease in the rag business almost 9% on year to 1.36 billion against 1.48 billion euros last year. Current operating income Villages is nevertheless increased from 35 to 36 million.The group also provides a new line of credit of 120 million euros maturing in December 2012.

    "The customer gains the upper end are confirmed despite the crisis, our fundamentals are solid operating profitability of the villages has improved steadily, and financial structure was strengthened," said chief executive Henri Giscard d'Estaing, quoted in the press.

    The strategy of moving upmarket Club Méditerranée conducted for several years and translated for the first time by a number of clients 4 and 5 Tridents (669,000) exceeds the number of clients 2 and 3 Tridents (549,000).

    China, "a major growth driver, is expected to open the first village (ski) in late 2010 and five more by 2015.This new market could become a "leading markets group" with such future locations, and help Club Med to restore profits.

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  • The euro is stronger and more united than its detractors suggest. The ill winds that had stood on the Acropolis in the wake of the crisis in Dubai, have subsided in 48 hours. Jean-Claude Trichet on Thursday expressed "confidence" in the fact that the Greek government would take "appropriate action". Two days earlier, Jean-Claude Juncker had swept a backhander fears of default on public debt: "This bankruptcy scenario is totally absurd, Greece is not and will not be bankrupt. The European Commissioner for Economic Affairs, Joaquin Almunia, was equally supportive: "The problems of Greece are also the problems of the eurozone."

    In simple words, but that totally defused suspicion.The risk premium had risen sharply to 215 basis points (rate differential between bonds of Greece and those of the German state), it fell to 169 points, level "before Dubai. And yet the situation in Athens is still as "worrying", according to the finance ministers of the European Union, during their Tuesday's Ecofin. They refer to the three records from Greece: a deficit that will reach 12.7% of GDP in 2009, government debt represents 113% of GDP and an external payments deficit of almost 7% of GDP.

    A seemingly hopeless position, but the drama of recent days has shown in vivo that Greece had spoiled for choice to find a good Samaritan, of the four following mechanisms.

    • Solidarity partners of the euro area

    There is no formal "financial instrument to address a funding crisis to one of the members" of monetary union, as noted by Jean Pisani-Ferry, director of the Brussels think tank Bruegel. The Maastricht Treaty is actually contradictory in this regard. On the one hand, it prohibits salvage procedure (bail out) debts of a State (Article 104B). On the other, it provides "due to exceptional events (…) to grant, under certain conditions, Community financial assistance" (Article 103a), as noted by Sylvain Broyer, an economist at Natixis.

    • Insurance Fund

    Unlike Dubai, which is not a member of the International Monetary Fund, except indirectly through the United Arab Emirates, Greece "contributor" itself to the insurance company what the IMF.But everybody recognizes, and Jean-Claude Trichet first, even if it has never publicly admitted he is de facto ruled a country in the euro area do call to global solidarity that is the IMF . This would be an admission of political weakness. The Minister of Finance, George Papakonstantinou, was also quick to declare that he had no intention of doing so. Able to recall how he was entitled.

    • China, deus ex machina

    The U.S. agency Dow Jones Newswire has revealed that Athens was in talks with Chinese banks to sell their 25 billion euros of securities of the public debt. The Prime Minister, George Papandreou, was even in the negotiations. Nothing extraordinary in themselves: the U.S. Treasury and Agency France Trésor spend their time doing the same thing.More disturbing, the Chinese authorities to extend the benefit of investing $ 5 billion made last year in the port of Piraeus by Cosco Pacific (Hong Kong).

    • A significant challenge for the euro area

    "If the deterioration of the Greek debt continues, we will find ourselves in the terrifying position of being unable to obtain cash, because the ECB will not accept our securities as collateral," said this week the Governor of the Bank of Greece George Provopoulos. A technical way, but convincingly, to describe the systemic risk to the Greek banks, which would meet all the carpets. A "small Lehman" in Greek? A good reason at least to encourage Europeans to stick together.

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