"It does not happen much on the markets, who are eagerly awaiting the unemployment figures of the United States, says it in the rooms. Is a very important day. Nobody wants to get new paris before this indicator. Investors prefer to wait and see what is the recovery. "He added: "If the numbers are bad, I think the markets will fall heavily and not only Friday, but next week."

Pending the U.S. unemployment

Despite a slight decline as unexpected new listings weekly unemployment across the Atlantic on Thursday, the Labor Department is expected to announce this afternoon an increase in unemployment to 9.6%."The GDP is not growing fast enough to create hundreds of thousands of new jobs needed each month to reduce employment at its level before the crisis," said Christina Romer Thursday, who will leave at the end of the week his position as economic advisor of President Barack Obama.

Also across the Atlantic in 16 hours, the ISM index of activity in services for the month of August and a speech from Fed chairman in Atlanta, Dennis Lockhart on current economic conditions are also scheduled .

For the euro area, will be published in Composite PMI and Services for the month of August (10:00) and retail sales for the month of July (11:00) no fax payday loans.

The meeting will be much calmer on the microeconomic front, in the absence of publications, the wave of results for this quarter coming to an end the Paris Bourse.

Values follow

Investors monitor the value of France Telecom, however. The chief operator, Stéphane Richard, told Reuters on Thursday on the sidelines of the MEDEF Summer University he was confident in the outcome of discussions with Canal + on the fusion of TV Orange Cinema Series and TPS Star. It will also try to convince the government not to raise VAT on offers "triple play".

Air France plans to create a structure "low cost" for medium-haul routes, especially between Orly and the province to counter the offensive of the British low cost airline EasyJet.

The Slovak government has decided to retire to a consortium led by Bouygues a road construction project of $ 3.3 billion through a public-private partnership announced Thursday, Slovak Minister of Transport, Jan Figel.

Venezuela will pay approximately $ 600 million (468 million euros) in Casino and other shareholders of the supermarket chain Exito nationalized in January, said Thursday in President Hugo Chavez.

Vinci said on Thursday the acquisition by its subsidiary of Vinci Park UK Meteor Parking which achieves annual turnover of approximately 50 million pounds (60 million euros), enabling it to become number four in the sector United Kingdom.

LVMH: A court decision is expected this Friday on an appeal by eBay, convicted in 2008 for dissemination and distribution of counterfeit perfume off approved.

"Because of the economic crisis, the shadow economy in 2010 will have increased in developed countries, after rising in 2009, wrote in a recent study by Friedrich Schneider, Austrian economist and specialist in the informal economy. According to his calculations, the share of the unofficial economy in the gross domestic product (GDP) in OECD countries rose by 13.3% in 2008 to 14% in 2010.In France, this ratio increased from 11.1% to 11.7%.

The increase may seem small, but it puts an end to the downward trend going back to the late 1990s. The Baltic and Mediterranean European countries experiencing the highest ratios. The shadow economy represents 25% of GDP in Greece and around 40% in Latvia and Estonia, as the work of Schneider. So many countries where the crisis hit harder than elsewhere.

To compensate for loss of income

Job losses, layoffs … revenue base with the crisis. "Many people try to compensate for their declining revenues through greater participation in informal transactions," says Friedrich Schneider.Among the top sectors fueling the underground economy, are the building trades and crafts, including the restoration, "he observes.

The underground economy is not always a bad thing. "I think the increase in informal activities during a crisis can avoid a recession even greater," said Friedrich Schneider. "Individuals and businesses earn more money, they can spend in the formal economy."

Fraud Investigations

In the Directorate of Legislation, recovery and service (Dirr), we measure the effects of the crisis on French companies thanks to anti-fraud investigations conducted in 2009. "A society that has problems is more likely to be in violation," said executive vice president of control, Jean-Michel Guerra.

To avoid bloodshed, but the controllers have been instructed to be conciliatory. The time granted in 2009 to companies in trouble when adjustments on previous years, usually stable, jumped 58%. Still, delinquencies have increased during the recovery of a half point, to 1.45%, from 12.5 billion euros.

One last figure: last year, the number of minutes prepared for working illegally jumped 27%, in part, it is true, thanks to control operations more focused and more frequent. The crisis should be felt in the figures of the anti-fraud encopre for several years. The controls on the activities of companies are indeed made for two to three years thereafter.

The words of John Chambers, who presides over the rating of 118 countries, have weight. When Standard & Poor's lowers a note means that the state has more chance of bad repay its debts. The investor who buys debt of this state in the form of bonds, then will demand higher interest rates corresponding to the greatest risk. Ultimately, this greatly increases the cost of debt management for the country.

Rigor required

While the return approach, the warnings from rating agencies are increasing. The moment is critical: it is between September and December that states buckle their budgets for the coming year. France, recently lectured by the rating agency Moody's, in a report on the countries rated, has already introduced measures of rigor.

In the "Triple A", London is also in the crosshairs of Standard & Poor's. The notes of the United Kingdom is already "on negative watch" last step before a possible degradation. Despite an initial austerity plan in place before the summer, the government of James Cameron should show "a little more determination to fight against the deficit" in the next budget review in October, said John Chambers faxless payday advance .

How the states will fail

The austerity measures already submitted or planned do not really reassure the markets. In a note titled "Do not ask if the states will fail, but rather how," the U.S. bank Morgan Stanley, is sounding the alarm. Developed countries already burdened by debt levels as they can not take all their commitments, warns the author of the note, Arnaud Mares.

Pensioners, benefit recipients or taxpayers will be affected by the plans of rigor. "It would be dangerously optimistic to believe that in this context, investors will remain forever protected against loss of income that will affect everyone," said Arnaud Mares.

According to this former analyst at Moody's, the states will not officially bankrupt. They rather use "the financial oppression."Specifically, holders of government bonds will be subject to interest rates artificially low or downright negative, ie less than inflation.

Scoring Criteria

To determine a rating, a rating agency monitors both the debt level and growth of the country. If the debt is high and growth is weak, the state will have more difficulty in meeting its commitments vis-à-vis investors. On the one hand because the burden of repayments will weigh too large a share in its budget. On the other hand, because it may raise less taxes in times of prosperity, income taxes depending on the health of businesses and households.

Evolution of the euro / dollar over the last year.

Such performance allows Maurice Levy to display his full confidence for the full year 2010: "I am confident that Publicis will outperform the market in terms of growth and the level of last year margin will be floor, "he said, thus raising its objectives. In other words, the turnover of Publicis will rise by more than 3.5% organic growth over the twelve month period according to the latest forecast of ZenithOptimedia, the global ad investment is expected to grow by 3.5% ( target revised upwards twice). And his margin will be above 15%.

In the first half already, organic growth amounted to 5.3% to 2.538 billion euros, its operating margin to 14.5% and net income jumped résutlat 27.5% over the same period 2009, to 213 million euros.

The digital and emerging line of sight

"This growth is the result of a strategy that produces effects positifis and regular," says the boss, first "because it grows with our customers, we grow with them and other customers are attracted by the followed by Publicis, and also because the group has put its weapons into the digital world. "Digital is our priority and this activity, one that grows the most, permeate the entire group," he decrypts, including content that become paying on the Internet and the development of tablets in general.

And also because the band has pushed themselves pawns in emerging countries, where "the dynamism should continue also in 2011 and 2012". The first half of 2010 in any case, the turnover generated Publicis Asia Pacific grew 6% to 286 million euros and 10.8% in Latin America.

In the U.S., it reached 1.258 billion euros (+6.6%) thanks to a favorable currency effect, and the importance of the contribution of health activities and digital activities, which represent 42.5% of income from this region.

ALSO READ:

Maurice Levy, Publicis is the boss

"Publicis is growing in China

"Publicis buys Resolute Communications

There are records after which China does not run. Inducted largest consumer of energy in the planet by the International Energy Agency (IEA) earlier this week, the Middle Kingdom has denied the figures of the organization Tuesday. "According to our calculations, the U.S. was still the world's largest consumer of energy in 2009," said Zeng and Yachuan, a spokesman for the National Energy Administration. The IEA estimates that China consumed 2.252 billion tons of oil equivalent last year, or 4% more than the United States. Beijing assesses its own consumption at 2132 million tons oil equivalent. Paris-based IEA said its figures were preliminary, but they draw a definite trend. For instance the Chinese, the organization's data are "not reliable" and overestimate emissions of carbon dioxide.

These statistics do not serve China, criticized by the international community for its commitment in chilly environment. Last year, Chinese leaders have promised a cleaner growth by reducing their emissions of greenhouse gas emissions by 40% to 45%. per unit of GDP by 2020. China is currently lagging behind, with improving its energy efficiency by 1.7% per year over the past decade, against 2.5% for the United States, according to the IEA.

Renewables

Despite its image as a bad pupil, the People's Republic seeks to develop renewable energy, always concerned about its growing dependence vis-à-vis imports of raw materials, especially oil online payday advance.In 2009, the government has installed capacity of 37 gigawatts additional generated by renewable energies, either the most important effort made in this respect in the world, according to the IEA. An effort record but insufficient for the required 1000 gigawatts in the next fifteen years. For Fatih Birol, chief economist of the IEA, if China wants to avoid blackouts, it will invest 4 trillion dollars in the energy sector in twenty years.

It must be said that China's needs following an exponential trajectory, with already five years ahead of schedule. Ten years ago, the Middle Kingdom was burning only half of U.S. consumption. This year, he is sure to dethrone Japan as second largest economy. And Chinese factories continue to fuel up.The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said Tuesday that growth in industrial production could exceed 11% over the full year 2010, a figure higher than the target of the central government.

ALSO READ:

In China, pollution kills 300,000 people a year

A few days before the opening of the ball half-year results, investors play the card of caution. Within the Dow, the ball will begin, starting Monday with numbers from Alcoa.

On Thursday, the NYSE has lined up a third session. The Dow Jones gained 1.20% 10,138.99 points and the Nasdaq 0.74% to 2175.40 points.

In particular, investors welcomed the drop in unemployment last week. Registrations fell to their lowest level since early May, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. A relief after the disappointment on the monthly figures of employment.Other good news, the International Monetary Fund has excluded the possibility of a new global recession, despite the turbulence on the financial sector by a less stable. He even raised its growth forecast for 2010 to 4.6% against 4.2% estimated in April.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro was weakening against the dollar after a flight the day before. The euro hit a high for two months and passed a symbolic milestone strong, exceeding the $ 1.27 100% free credit score. The European currency, benefiting from renewed optimism over the health of banks on the old continent.

Today, U.S. investors expect stocks to wholesalers for the month of May

On the side of values, the title of Britain's BP, quoted in London and on Wall Street is particularly rowdy: -1.66% to 33.2 follar.The U.S. government Thursday gave the company 24 hours to discuss her new device designed to contain the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.

Always on the side of values, the U.S. producer of industrial gases Air Products announced Thursday it increased its bid for rival Airgas, whose level was deemed insufficient by its target. The group is now offering 63.50 dollars per share in cash, instead of $ 60 proposed in February, a total of some 5.3 billion dollars.

Note also the media giant Disney (0.57% to 33.5 U.S. dollars) have reached an agreement in principle to sell the film studio Miramax in a consortium including the fund Colony Capital, said Thursday night the Los Angeles Times, referring to a transaction of approximately $ 650 million.

Boeing (+0.17% to 64.84 dollars) has submitted its bid for ravitalleurs.EADS has filed its case yesterday.

The other highlight of the show should be for Airbus's announcement of a new Emirates A380 order with ten aircraft and farm options (at least a dozen well). Emirates is already the largest A380 customer with 58 orders. On May 13 at its conference statement, the company officials did not hide that, very pleased with the performance of large aircraft, they envisioned a new order.Asked Airbus declined comment.

Since its commissioning in October 2007 between Paris and Singapore by Singapore Airlines, the A380 has carried 5.5 million passengers to 18 destinations and made 14,000 flights. Airbus calculates that if these flights were made with the planes of the previous generation, they would have released into the atmosphere 620,000 tons of CO2.

Teva is already well established in the United States and if he manages to obtain permission from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the U.S. Food to sell a cheaper version of Viagra, it will compete with the giant American Pharmacy Pfizer, the original manufacturer of Viagra. This drug has generated a turnover of nearly two billion dollars in 2009.

The battle is not won

To delay the arrival of competitors, Pfizer has asked a U.S. court to extend its rights until 2019 on the blue pill.In addition, the U.S. puts pressure on the Israeli state, that it hinders the development of Teva fast cash online.

Thus, the U.S. will not hesitate to condition their support for Israel's integration in the OECD at the signing of agreements on the extension of pharmaceutical patent protection to further protect American businesses.

Teva has achieved a turnover of 13.9 billion dollars in 2009 and will probably continue to grow in America and Europe. The Israeli group has already acquired this year to 3.6 billion euros German Ratiopharm, the sixth largest producer of generic drugs worldwide, while Pfizer was in the running.On the French market, Teva hopes to become the third player Hex generics.

ALSO READ:

AstraZeneca delays the sale of a generic

The generic drug manufacturers Teva Barr offered price of gold

"Russia will be content with this revenge after being overtaken by the U.S. as world's largest producer of gas in 2009," said Arnaud Dubien, Russia specialist at the Iris.But for observers, the news is almost an anecdote in relation to long-term goals that will give Russia. "The food insecurity is a sensitive issue for Russia. It is about strategic security, "says Arnaud Dubien.

Giant agricultural

The renewed interest in the Russian administration for the agricultural sector clearly demonstrates the strategic issue. Agriculture had been abandoned by the government following the collapse of the USSR. The collapse of output was such that the country had to get food aid from the European Union in late 1998. In 2005 Awareness is. Vladimir Putin made agriculture a mainstay of his country's development. Two years later, he launched a five-year plan based on credits to farmers, and with 551 billion rubles (13.7 billion euros). The oligarchs are called upon.Vladimir Potanin, co-founder of the giant Norilsk Nickel is one of them.

The successor of Vladimir Putin, continues the momentum. At a forum in St. Petersburg June 5, 2009, Dmitry Medvedev replaced the wheat "at the center of life". "By implementing intensive methods in agriculture, using the proper techniques of growing wheat and raising the yield to 24 quintals per hectare, we can produce 112 to 115 million tonnes of wheat annually. And up to 133 to 136 million tons in putting into operation of additional arable land, "he said.

Export power

For analysts of the wheat market, these objectives are not surprising. "Russia is already the fourth largest producer.In 2010, the country should be the third largest exporter, just behind the EU, provides Nicolas Fragneau manager Amund Funds Global Agriculture low fee pay day loans. Currently, the EU holds first place on the podium producers (138.143 million tonnes) followed by China (114.500) and India (80.680).

Largest producer, Russia still suffers from a less assertive export. But the Russian government is working hard to address them. "Russia built ports, silos for storage. She is currently addressing all infrastructure problems. Already, since 1 July 2009, the beginning of the current year, exports reached 12 million tons, "says Michael Porter, manager of Agritel.These investments are valued by the Russian government to a range of 50 to 100 million by 2011.

Competition sharpens

The U.S. and the EU are a chilling eye development of the Russian market. The country of Medvedev already nibbling their ground in their natural turf, including Egypt, the world's largest importer of wheat. "Russia has won the bulk of the market with 420,000 tons sold since our previous state of play", remarked bitterly FranceAgrimer in its monthly report last February. The Asian market is also targeted by Russia with the aim of building "an eastern corridor development.

While FranceAgrimer reported a "competition always aggressive," analysts raised their findings: "the Russian wheat is cheaper because there are fewer loads.The only way the EU is to be as competitive as it will have to rely on the Russians, "slice Michel Portier. For their part, U.S. farmers to regulate competition through alternative crops. The final report of sowing the USDA shows that the U.S. should plant less wheat (-9%) and more corn (3%) and soybeans (1%) this year compared to last year.

Russia, bolstered by its untapped potential, is not ready to stop there. The country has 40% of global chernozem, the muck very fat and very fertile. "20 million hectares, unused since 1991 could be reintroduced into the production," Dmitry Medvedev announced last year. According to Arnaud Dubien, "with the arrival of leaders close to Moscow, as in Ukraine, a post-Soviet wheat cartel could be formed, plus Kazakhstan.He could then become the breadbasket of the world.

ALSO READ:

"Agriculture: Russia is the market at the Paris Salon

"Green light from the Duma to the privatization of agricultural land