Globalization has a bad press these days. While the debt crisis has taken over from the 2008 financial crisis, many cities and regions rely on the relocation of the economy. They have to do this, decided to do without the euro by inventing their own currency. Latest initiative, that of Filettino, Italy, beating since late August, "Fiorito".

This small town of 598 inhabitants located in the province of Frosinone in the center of the country declared independence in protest against the government's austerity plan which provides for the pooling of budgets of small towns under 1000 inhabitants. The new "Principality" issued 20,000 tickets to the effigy of the Mayor and has already set an exchange rate against the euro if it would carry out its threat of secession. The "Fiorito" would then 0.50 euro.

The idea of ​​an alternative currency to the euro or the dollar is not new. By 2003, Prien am Chiemsee, a common German Bavaria, has released the "Chiemgauer." Notes 1,2,5, 10, 20 and 50 Chiemgauers have the same value as the euro and can be used in a network of retailers and businesses that have joined the project. Today there are 617 members. The phenomenon has become so widespread in Germany there are about sixty local currencies.

Development "solidarity"

These alternative currencies have also landed in France. At the initiative of the Association for the living act, the Bee has appeared in the wallets of the people of Villeneuve-sur-Lot in the Lot-et-Garonne, in January 2010. In Toulouse, the Sol-Violette is intended as a "currency ethics", which aims to promote "economic solidarity".Finally, the South Ardeche has established its currency, the Firefly, in spring 2011 in order to "pave the way for a greener economy of the human being and its environment."

Hints "solidarity" that is found throughout Europe, the hour or the debt crisis is spreading cheap business cards. In Belgium, in the region of Hainaut, in Mons has launched the Ropi to "relocate the economy, preparing for post-growth, and put the citizen at the heart of the debates and decisions, including finance and monetary issues. " These concerns go far beyond European borders. In the United States in the region of the Berkshire (Massachusetts), associations were created in 2006 a parallel currency system, based on BerkShares. Today, more than 400 companies accept this money, and more than 2.7 million BerkShares are outstanding, redeemable at $ 1 against 0.95 BerkShares.

Closed circuit

Faced with the popularity of these alternative currencies, the euro and the dollar they have to be worried? In a report published in 2007, the Deutsche Bundesbank, the German Central Bank, was already wondering if they could compete with the euro. According to the institution, the local currency in circulation in Germany then weighed the equivalent of 200,000 euros and their impact on the economy was "negligible." Today, they account for 900,000 euros.

The Bank of France, meanwhile, said that the legal tender, as defined in the Monetary and Financial Code, is the fundamental principle of any form of payment. "Traders are obliged to accept notes and coins are legal tender with this." Conversely, the release of a parallel currency is not prohibited, but it must be under an agreement between the different users."This currency is not exchangeable and circulates in a closed circuit," says the institution. Despite the snowball effect, the euro has probably nothing to fear from local currencies doomed to remain confidential.

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Tighten controls on market operators: it will be a priority of the successor of Oswald Grübel, the CEO of UBS who resigned this weekend after the discovery of a loss of $ 2.3 billion caused by a dishonest trader.

But the Swiss bank is not alone in feeling concerned. All trading rooms around the world have the fear of these traders "crazy", they keep trotting out the litany of Nick Leeson, the destroyer of Barings, to Jérôme Kerviel, the world record with 5 billion euro soared to Societe Generale. And each new scandal, as that caused by Kweku Adoboli at UBS encourages to review the effectiveness of brigades antifraudeur.

In 2008, after the disappointments of Societe Generale, Bercy was imposed on Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Natixis other a plan of attack.Knowing that the supervisory authority requires more or less equity trades across markets depending on the quality of procedures for prevention and detection, the effort proved intense. "The work that was conducted in French banks would have allowed UBS to avoid this fraud," says Benoit Genest, director of risk modeling to consulting firm Ares & Co.

Behavior analysis

It must be said that the modus operandi of Kweku Adoboli reminiscent of Jerome Kerviel. The index trader UBS is accused of fictitious transactions rose, from 2008 to hide unauthorized positions. To locate this type of martingale, French banks have muscled their risk control systems and require confirmation and signatures to all floors. The positions are valued at their nominal and not just in terms of their net worth of blankets.But hunting is not just a matter traders crazy numbers. The behavioral analysis is essential payday loan.

Banks take very seriously the obligation to their teams to take two weeks off in a row. Not always easy to organize when the holidays are reduced in some countries like Hong Kong. Especially as the human drive to ensure that details two "friends" of a trading floor can not take turns (and hide their possible combination). For the same reason, traders no longer allowed to fraternize with brokers who do their bidding. Farewell invitations lavish gifts and generous year-end. The managers themselves are trained to identify the stress level of their troops. A trader is often fool someone who originally did not dare tell her a little higher "palm".As for those who, like Nick Leeson and Jerome Kerviel Kweku Adoboli now, have gone through the support functions, they are observed under the microscope …

It's new, each operator sign contracts every year a mandate that defines the size of the playground: what products he is authorized to treat, what maturity, what currency, which limits … So any foray outside of this area can be identified. The aim is to ensure that the trader does not abnormal behavior, such as more frequent transactions or unusual amounts. It is no coincidence, moreover, if the fraud often arise when markets are heckled, when finally the abnormal becomes the norm. "Studies show that the risk of fraud is increasing in times of market turmoil," warns Benoit Genest, Ares & Co.So vigilance …

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SNCF never ceases to celebrate 30 years of its TGV. After the launch last May of a train specially decorated, a new celebration takes place Saturday night in the Gare de Lyon in Paris. The President of the SNCF Guillaume Pepy, and Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, Minister of Ecology and Sustainable Development, will attend a particular video show projected on the facade of the Gare de Lyon which left the first TGV, the September 22, 1981.

A few figures summarize the tremendous success of the first high-speed train developed by Alstom to accommodate all age groups, mobile executives, young, old … In all, nearly two billion passengers have taken in 30 years. 83% of French people have traveled at least once on board the TGV, which now serves 230 stations.

But the station pulled the alarm a few years ago commercial success, the TGV is not an economic powerhouse.The accounts of the industry are deteriorating, the fault, including the tolls the operator must pay to Réseau Ferré de France, the operator of the system for the use of high-speed lines. Today, nearly 30% of high-speed lines in circulation are not profitable. Guillaume Pepy regularly reminded that the company can no longer afford to invest in next-generation trains quick guaranteed personal loans.

The future railway landscape

Several projects of new lines are under way: the Rhine-Rhone, just opened, the Tours-Bordeaux, Brittany or the Loire region, not to mention the circumvention of Nimes and Montpellier. But others are virtual as the Paris-Caen. The success of the TGV has indeed given to the regions want to have "their" TGV.But the question of funding problem and use increasingly common in public-private partnership, a financing involving the state and communities in building a private group, is not a panacea.

After the festivities, Focus on the rail, a kind of rail Grenelle oragnisé by the Department, will again bring together industry players at round tables austere. Objective: To shape the future landscape railway … and give the French the prospect of other celebrations in the coming decades.

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The U.S. stock markets, should open with no real leadership on Friday. Future of Standard & Poor's 500 fell by 0.12% to 1222.10 points, while those on the Nasdaq 100 2174.75 0.01% grappillent points. The markets are still haunted by the fear of a recession in the U.S. and the crisis of public debts. Wall Street tumbled Thursday was at the end. The Dow Jones ends with a fall of more than 3%.

In an attempt to stop the stock market crash, the finance ministers and central bankers of the twenty leading economies gathered in Washington last Thursday pledged to provide "a strong and coordinated international response" to the crisis at a meeting in Washington.In a joint statement, they agreed to ensure that "banks have adequate capital" and promised to provide "the necessary liquidity" to financial institutions. But for specialists Aurel BGC, "the real decisions are referred to the Summit of Heads of State and Government to be held in Cannes, 3 and 4 November."

The Perfect Storm, the large emerging group of "Bric" were "determined to accelerate structural reforms to sustain strong growth." Brazil, Russia, India and China but also South Africa so consider "if necessary, to provide support through the IMF or other international financial institutions, to address the current challenges facing the global financial stability, according to the circumstances of each country. "The inventor of the BRIC, Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said however that emerging markets are likely to require at least, in exchange for their support, greater clarity on how the Europe has to solve its crisis.

Gloomy outlook for world trade

In response to a request by the G20 in September addressed to Nicolas Sarkozy, the countries of the euro area have also promised to implement "necessary measures to increase the flexibility of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF)" to avoid contagion from the crisis in Greece. Yesterday, the possibility of a defect in Athens, though long ruled by EU leaders, was raised by Klaas Knot, Member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank (ECB)."This is one of the scenarios," he told the Dutch newspaper Het Financieele Dagblad.

The specter of a global recession has suddenly resurfaced after the ads pessimistic U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), which held that the U.S. economic recovery was "slow" and threatened by "high risk". Wednesday she has decided to sell by the end of June 2012 for $ 400 billion of treasury bills and to purchase for the same amount with a longer maturity.But the fact that it favors measures to monetary easing, a depressed market on Thursday, who sees as a sign of impotence.

New signs of abating, the World Trade Organization (WTO) revised downwards its forecast for this Friday trade growth for 2011, expecting growth of world trade by 5.8% against 6.5% forecast so far, according to its website.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro climbed slightly against the U.S. dollar: it rose on Friday by 0.57% to 1.3533 dollar. Oil prices also went up.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November, which had tumbled more than $ 5 the day before returning 1% by mid-morning at 81.31 dollars.

The side of values, after the close of the NYSE YorkHewlett-Packard announced the replacement of Leo Apotheker as CEO from Meg Whitman, confirming the many rumors that had circulated in recent days.

At Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is Rick Bergman Devices, responsible for products, who announced his resignation. The CEO will temporarily Rory Read office.

Covidien raised its quarterly dividend 12.5% ​​to 0.225 dollar per share.And, for its part McDonald's has increased its 15% to $ 0.7 per share.

In order to treat its shareholders well, Raytheon has authorized a stock repurchase plan of $ 2 billion.

The American manufacturer of sporting Nike has exceeded market expectations by posting yesterday after the close of U.S. markets net income for the first quarter of fiscal year up 15% to $ 645 million, driven by its Sales in North America and in emerging countries. Revenues rose 11% to $ 6.1 billion.Orders scheduled for delivery between September 2011 and January 2012 were up 16% to $ 8.5 billion.

On the occasion of a major overhaul of its website, Facebooks'est services associated with music, news and video, including Spotify, Deezer and Dailymotion, and challenge from Apple in the content.

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Slowly, Orange out of the editing and production of audiovisual content. After the partial sale of the chain Orange Cinema Series concluded this summer with Canal + for the euro symbol, the operator now negotiating the end of the channel Orange Sport and pondered the future of Studio 37, subsidiary cinema. Between now and June 2012, the sports channel, which employs twenty employees and thirty intermittent, should close its service.

This date corresponds to the extinction of the major broadcast rights as the game Saturday night in the Championship of France of football, as well as the rights to broadcast Diamond League (athletics) and the African Cup of Nations. It will, however, the rights of the ATT 1000 tennis which runs until 2013 for 4 to 5 million euros per year.A difficult case to the extent that these rights are not transferable by Orange to another operator, unless you agree with the rights holders. Because contrary to what was hoped the staff group, the chain has not been sold.

The band's arrival in Qatar in French football this summer has raised hopes the acquisition of Orange Sport the cost grid is around 160 million euros. A base that would have allowed the al-Jazeera Sport channel to launch in France in January no fax payday loan. But Qatar has not responded. Similarly, negotiations with the American ESPN have fizzled. However, Orange Sport, whose loss is estimated at 150 million euros, should not weigh on the financial statements 2011 of France Telecom.The group had provisioned at December 2010 the cost of the shutdown of its two channels, up from 450 to 500 million, including $ 300 million for the sports channel.

Of critical success

At the same time, Orange will lead a reflection on the future of Studio 37, subsidiary co-production film. Now deprived of the support of his movie channel and making low profile in the activity of the studio, its existence is justified less than in the past. Especially since, despite critical success as Welcome and Gainsbourg, or the heroic life of Fine guys, Studio 37 has had some setbacks as the Night kings of children, animated film on which it has invested 10 million euros – half of the production budget – to a resounding failure.

Orange is still given two years to find a growth in the studio and complementary activities before taking a more radical decision.

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After a lull last week, financial markets have plunged sharply Monday. Concerned about the lack of strong commitment of European finance ministers to support Greece, this weekend, and surprised by the tensions between Europe and the United States, investors are more likely to feel inevitable a lack of Athens. In Paris the CAC 40 index fell 3% while the German Dax gave up 2.83%. Again, it is the banks that were hardest attack.

The declaration on Sunday night on TF1, former IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn, for whom "we must accept to recognize that we must take his loss" of Greece was the effect of bomb."Hearing that DSK four months ago the IMF also urged new funding for Greece say the exact opposite now shows how events have turned," says Bruno Cavalier, chief economist at Oddo Securities. For the latter, there is a "real tired of the financial markets who want to wipe the slate clean once and for all to get back on firmer footing."

A feeling evident in a survey by Barclays Capital from major global investors. They are 24% think that the current crisis will lead to a breakup of the euro area. Over 60% of them believe that the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) will be insufficient to resolve the debt crisis.Although little scientific significance, such polls show the amount of work to be done now to reassure the magnitude of the crisis.

Bercy wants to reassure

France, Monday it is used by the voice of its Minister of Economy Baroin for which a default of Greece "is not a working hypothesis." At Bercy we stick to the same line of defense when all European countries have adopted the plan of July 21, that is to say by mid-October, the bleeding will be stopped.Reasoning that is opposed to that of economists who say a failure Greek is becoming increasingly economically rational, "If they want to avoid a failure of control, the Troika and the European Union in particular have an incentive to relieve pressure on the objectives short-term budget of Athens by insisting on the implementation of structural reforms to boost potential growth in Greece, "say economists at Morgan Stanley free business cards.

Rather than a sudden failure, we must consider a debt restructuring in the short term, implying a lower repayment installments provided for in the coming months to ease the Greek public finances.The major risk of such a scenario is a contagion to other peripheral countries "can be avoided if the ECB goes on the front lines and discourage speculation against the Italian debt by buying heavily," said Bruno Cavalier.

Creditors on deck

In this climate of growing skepticism, Greece somehow continues the implementation of the agreement of July 21, which passes through the participation of private creditors. Artisans of the device designed to reshape 192 billion euros of Greek claims STRIPS to complete the offer in October. "This operation can not be done in a snap. It is very complex technically and supports many constraints, "insists Fabrice Faure-Dauphin, a partner with law firm Allen & Overy, the Board of the operation.And insist: "If Greece were to miss a deadline, it does not fundamentally change the rules and would not offer more solutions to the problem."

The only good news, the first signals of the voluntary contribution of banks and other insurers are quite positive. While Greece requires a 90% interest in the exchange, some suggested a rate of 75% or 80%, almost unexpected. At these levels, the operation would have every opportunity to move forward. "A contribution of 85% instead of 90% needs to find an additional 8.5 billion euros," analysts calculate Barclays Capital.If Athens was a survey of creditors, the real success of the operation will not be known until after the formal offer proposal issued by the Greek government.

Athens without a loan repayment expected before December, this still leaves him time for both to continue its negotiations with the Troika and to carry out – or not – this massive debt restructuring for its crucial public finances. Meanwhile, the markets do not.

Commitments at risk of Kweku Adoboli have increased to 10 billion dollars (7.2 billion euros) according to the Sunday Times. Arrested on the night of Wednesday to Thursday, the trader in London the Swiss bank UBS has been detained by a judge Friday. May request bail at a subsequent hearing Thursday.

UBS said Thursday an estimated loss of 1.5 billion euros due to fraudulent transactions of its employees. Since then, the bank did not provide details on the mechanisms in question. The extent of fraud appears, however, reach gigantic proportions: it would be spread over three years since October 2008, without apparently the slightest alarm it caused internally. UBS warned regulators Swiss and British have launched a joint investigation.The bank has set up a parallel internal investigation unit called "Project Bronze" and instructed one of his best traders in derivatives, Jason Barron, to unwind positions Kweku Adoboli. While the fraud would have been discovered in the day Wednesday, all commitments have been liquidated Adoboli Friday.

Supposedly low-risk operations

The trader, who was promoted to his post in 2008 from the back office services, was a member of a small team of five people at Delta One desk. Their mission: to invest large sums to the equity of the bank's alleged market changes, via financial instruments called ETF (exchange traded funds) small personal loans. Generally, low profits emerged from these supposedly low-risk operations at very high volumes.Adoboli of the fault could have come from a lack of coverage of his Paris, which would have resulted in a spiral of losses since the collapse of financial markets this summer.

New to fear layoffs

The extent of the scandal poses serious threats to the future of UBS. While the bank has launched a 3500 plan job cuts, new job cuts are feared. The approximately 6000 employees of the investment bank in London feared an outright shutdown of their business, which should show a loss on the year while UBS as a whole should remain the beneficiary. Despite calls for resignations in Switzerland, head of UBS, Gruebele Oswald replied that he did not intend. "If you ask me whether I feel guilty, I say no," he told the newspaper Der Sonntag.

Concerned about its reputation with its clients it manages fortunes, UBS wrote them a letter Saturday to try to reassure them. "We fully understand that this incident may worry, says the bank. We are very disappointed and we also assure you that UBS is taking the matter very seriously and makes every effort to resolve it quickly. Your assets are safe with us. "

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After a third round of chained up on Thursday, the CAC 40 continues its momentum on Friday in the wake of Wall Street and Asian stock markets. The benchmark index of the Paris Bourse opens up 1.21% to 3082.39 points, showing investors for the time being reassured by the decision of the central bankers of the richer countries to mobilize to prevent the depletion liquidity of banks in dollars. For the record, he had closed the previous day on an increase of 3.27% to 3045.62 points.The improvement is also gaining other European financial centers: the Footsie-100 from the London Stock Exchange rose 0.91% to 5386.34 points, the Dax in Frankfurt from 1.8% to 5607.51 points, the Ibex -35 Madrid from 1.18% to 8435.9 points and the FTSE Milan Mib of 1.29% at 14,832 points.

Thus, the European Central Bank (ECB), the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan have opened their facilities for dollar loans to European institutions in three months, at their request. The decision was hailed by leading international institutions including the IMF, through its President Christine Lagarde: "This is a clear indication on their part, from the two largest members of the euro area from a point of Economically, the future of Greece is truly in the euro area.This appears to be strongly rooted in them both, "she said Thursday night by referring to the Franco-German tandem. The same applies to the ECB: "We are all very closely 'united in one purpose,'" said last night Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the ECB.

A meeting of finance ministers in Poland

However, brokers are concerned that this improvement was not part of the time. "The coordinated central bank takes the market today," noted Toshiyuki Kanayama, broker at Monex, quoted by Dow Jones Newswires. But this does not solve the problem of the euro area should have a temporary effect. "Suddenly, all eyes have turned to Wroclaw in Poland, where there is a meeting of EU finance ministers on Greece.It should last two days and overcome the remaining obstacles to the implementation of the second plane to Athens to help avoid bankruptcy the country, totaling nearly 160 billion euros, decided July 21. Note that Timothy Geithneir, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, will attend the round table.

On the other side of the Atlantic, U.S. President Barack Obama said Thursday night that his plan for the use of 447 billion dollars could generate "up to 2 points of growth" and lower "a point unemployment ", by creating 1.9 million jobs, in a speech in Washington. And while the United States are experiencing an unemployment rate of 9.1%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro kept most of the gains made the previous day.The European currency was worth 1.3848 dollars and 106.31 yen Friday morning, down slightly compared to 1.3882 dollars from the previous evening. Similarly, the oil price displayed in a small increase in morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" earned 5 cents to 89.45 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea 14 cents to 112.44 dollars. "This liquidity will likely prevent the recession to hit the euro area, supporting crude oil prices," said Victoire Shum, an analyst at Purvin and Gertz in Singapore.

On the macroeconomic front, foreign trade and balance of payments in the euro area for the month of July will be published on Friday.

In France, business start-ups in France rebounded in August after two months of decline.A total of 41,697 companies were created last month, according to Insee, a figure up 7.5% from July, which was the worst month for a year and a half.

United States, the net capital flows and the index of consumer confidence from the University of Michigan will be published early in the afternoon.

Values ​​to follow

Banking

Again, banks, led by Societe Generale (4.96% to 19.19 euros), Credit Agricole (3.30% to 5.70 euros) and BNP Paribas (3.92% at 31, 69 euros), will be scrutinized by investors, following the decision by central banks to help European institutions.

Air France-KLM (0.84% ​​to 6.11 euros) and EADS (+0.02% at 22.22 euros)

The manufacturer will control 50 devices equally between European manufacturers Airbus and Boeing, for a total of $ 11.3 billion (8.1 billion euros) to ensure the renewal of its fleet, say Les Echos to be published Friday.

Hermes (-6.08% to 252 euros)

Resumption of trading on Friday for the title of the luxury group, which was suspended the day pending the decision of the Court of Appeal in Paris on speculation about the fate of its capital due to a possible takeover bid by LVMH.

Areva (3.17% to 21.66 euros)

The group has suspended two months for the production of two French factories processing of uranium due to the decline in demand for nuclear power plants in Japan after the disaster in Fukushima, officials said Thursday from the French nuclear group.

EDF (2.25% to 21.09 euros)

Group and Electrical Delmi A2A and its majority shareholder, who jointly control Edison, announced the extension of their shareholder agreement until October 31 at number two in the Italian electricity.

Pascal de Izaguirre, the new head of Nouvelles Frontieres, warned this summer that is socially necessary to revive the group, losing ground. Reportedly, the plan would cover about 400 positions. It should start in early 2012 and early departures would occur next summer.

On Thursday, during an extraordinary works council, which lasted all day, Pascal de Izaguirre had planned to give details of the plan. He did not last. "The topic of the day was the proposed merger and any socially impossible before, says Le Figaro Jorge Partida, secretary of the EC and member of the FOR trade union, a majority. Pascal de Izaguirre wanted to give a figure for job cuts. At our request, he did not mention it.It was not on the agenda, we told him to observe the melting process. "

The plan is part of a drastic turnaround strategy Nouvelles Frontieres, which should acknowledge this year the heaviest operating loss in its history. To restore the finances of the company, Pascal de Izaguirre upsets ever habits by bringing together under one roof all brands (New Frontiers, Marmara, Tourinter and adventurer), without removing either. By doing this, this former Air France, arrived first at the head of Corsairfly before returning in May orders for the whole group, wants to end the spirit of competition that may exist between Marmara and New Frontiers, and save money.

'Strategic mistakes

The new entity will be called TUI Travel France and centered around a renewed organization, lighter and cross."The project" Convergence "is never an objective of uniform or standardized offerings," insists Pascal de Izaguirre.

By grouping the teams, Pascal de Izaguirre wants to impose more rigorous management, and revive the "spirit of conquest", which had the reputation of New Frontiers. "This plan is the fourth since the early 2000s and the takeover by the German group Preussag, held at the time by Jacques Maillot, said Jean Serrat, a former captain in Corsairfly and former secretary of the EC until 2006. The previous plans were not enough to boost sales momentum because there were strategic errors (in the diversification of products, distribution …). For the first time, brings together teams of Marmara and New Frontiers.This is finally going in the direction of a cost rationalization was inevitable. "

Pascal de Izaguirre wants to go fast. The implementation of the new operational structure of the company is scheduled for early 2012. He has no choice. In recent years, New Frontiers has lost market share that will be difficult to regain. Increasingly, too, is necessary in Internet travel sales, with the arrival of new competitors, starting with Google, which promises to shake up the industry with a brand new search engine for airline tickets.

Also new, the consumer, always on the lookout for bargains, it also has a growing tendency to move from one tour operator.

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