Sources: Potentialpark

Traders are not present reassured by the fences down Asian markets this morning and those of the U.S. financial markets yesterday. They are again assailed by doubts about the debt situation in Europe. Operators including questioning the ability of banks to recapitalize."Without real support of the economy, the Agreement on Greece will not have any real effect," said Michael James.

Greece still worried

Greece, in fact, placed his fate in the hands of the people by deciding to hold a referendum on the decisions of the European Summit of 26 October. "The will of the Greek people be binding on us," said Prime Minister George Papandreou, who will also seek a confidence vote in Parliament on the agreement on debt. If 'no' wins, the Greek Constitution mandates the holding of early parliamentary elections. "This will plunge the country into an economic downturn and unprecedented political," says a member also left anonymously. The news was greeted coolly by the markets on Tuesday.

The European trend: in Frankfurt, Deutsche Bank loose 7.5%, 10% and Commerzbank. In Zurich, Credit Suisse, which announced 1,500 job cuts, collapses to 8.98%.

• EDF: -2.33% to 21.20 euros

The group said Monday it has reached an agreement with the Italian shareholders of Edison on the principles of the reorganization of the second Italian electrician, announced as a step closer to taking control of it.

• Air France-KLM: -3.03% to 5.34 euros

The atmosphere was quiet and posted a thirty flights per hour at Paris Orly airport on Tuesday morning, the fourth day of the strike of hostesses and stewards of Air France, found an AFP .

A few figures summarize the tremendous success of the first high-speed train developed by Alstom to accommodate all age groups, mobile executives, young, old … In all, nearly two billion passengers have taken in 30 years. 83% of French people have traveled at least once on board the TGV, which now serves 230 stations.

But the station pulled the alarm a few years ago commercial success, the TGV is not an economic powerhouse.The accounts of the industry are deteriorating, the fault, including the tolls the operator must pay to Réseau Ferré de France, the operator of the system for the use of high-speed lines. Today, nearly 30% of high-speed lines in circulation are not profitable. Guillaume Pepy regularly reminded that the company can no longer afford to invest in next-generation trains quick guaranteed personal loans.

The future railway landscape

Several projects of new lines are under way: the Rhine-Rhone, just opened, the Tours-Bordeaux, Brittany or the Loire region, not to mention the circumvention of Nimes and Montpellier. But others are virtual as the Paris-Caen. The success of the TGV has indeed given to the regions want to have "their" TGV.But the question of funding problem and use increasingly common in public-private partnership, a financing involving the state and communities in building a private group, is not a panacea.

After the festivities, Focus on the rail, a kind of rail Grenelle oragnisé by the Department, will again bring together industry players at round tables austere. Objective: To shape the future landscape railway … and give the French the prospect of other celebrations in the coming decades.

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In an attempt to stop the stock market crash, the finance ministers and central bankers of the twenty leading economies gathered in Washington last Thursday pledged to provide "a strong and coordinated international response" to the crisis at a meeting in Washington.In a joint statement, they agreed to ensure that "banks have adequate capital" and promised to provide "the necessary liquidity" to financial institutions. But for specialists Aurel BGC, "the real decisions are referred to the Summit of Heads of State and Government to be held in Cannes, 3 and 4 November."

The Perfect Storm, the large emerging group of "Bric" were "determined to accelerate structural reforms to sustain strong growth." Brazil, Russia, India and China but also South Africa so consider "if necessary, to provide support through the IMF or other international financial institutions, to address the current challenges facing the global financial stability, according to the circumstances of each country. "The inventor of the BRIC, Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said however that emerging markets are likely to require at least, in exchange for their support, greater clarity on how the Europe has to solve its crisis.

Gloomy outlook for world trade

In response to a request by the G20 in September addressed to Nicolas Sarkozy, the countries of the euro area have also promised to implement "necessary measures to increase the flexibility of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF)" to avoid contagion from the crisis in Greece. Yesterday, the possibility of a defect in Athens, though long ruled by EU leaders, was raised by Klaas Knot, Member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank (ECB)."This is one of the scenarios," he told the Dutch newspaper Het Financieele Dagblad.

The specter of a global recession has suddenly resurfaced after the ads pessimistic U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), which held that the U.S. economic recovery was "slow" and threatened by "high risk". Wednesday she has decided to sell by the end of June 2012 for $ 400 billion of treasury bills and to purchase for the same amount with a longer maturity.But the fact that it favors measures to monetary easing, a depressed market on Thursday, who sees as a sign of impotence.

New signs of abating, the World Trade Organization (WTO) revised downwards its forecast for this Friday trade growth for 2011, expecting growth of world trade by 5.8% against 6.5% forecast so far, according to its website.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro climbed slightly against the U.S. dollar: it rose on Friday by 0.57% to 1.3533 dollar. Oil prices also went up.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November, which had tumbled more than $ 5 the day before returning 1% by mid-morning at 81.31 dollars.

The side of values, after the close of the NYSE YorkHewlett-Packard announced the replacement of Leo Apotheker as CEO from Meg Whitman, confirming the many rumors that had circulated in recent days.

At Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is Rick Bergman Devices, responsible for products, who announced his resignation. The CEO will temporarily Rory Read office.

Covidien raised its quarterly dividend 12.5% ​​to 0.225 dollar per share.And, for its part McDonald's has increased its 15% to $ 0.7 per share.

In order to treat its shareholders well, Raytheon has authorized a stock repurchase plan of $ 2 billion.

The American manufacturer of sporting Nike has exceeded market expectations by posting yesterday after the close of U.S. markets net income for the first quarter of fiscal year up 15% to $ 645 million, driven by its Sales in North America and in emerging countries. Revenues rose 11% to $ 6.1 billion.Orders scheduled for delivery between September 2011 and January 2012 were up 16% to $ 8.5 billion.

On the occasion of a major overhaul of its website, Facebooks'est services associated with music, news and video, including Spotify, Deezer and Dailymotion, and challenge from Apple in the content.

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In the morning, the stock market continued its technical rebound began Tuesday after a session that saw the CAC 40 jumped more than 3.5% beyond 3000 points. The benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange began the day on a stable note, down from 0.08% to 3070.58 points. But at mid-session, the CAC in advance of 0.63% allowing the Paris index to approach the 3100 points to 30,092.41 points exactly. On other European exchanges, the movement is the same.London lost 0.08% at the opening before turning positive again (0.83%), while Frankfurt climbed 0.84%. As in Asia this morning, traders expect the set of indicators of days before taking a position. Unlike previous days, the agenda will be very busy in the U.S. and Europe.

Not surprisingly, the ECB rate remained at current levels, at 1.5%. But the European Central Bank has revised downwards its growth forecast Thursday for the euro area, and taking note of the recent negative developments in the economy and the mood in financial markets. The ECB now sees growth of 1.6% in 2011 for the euro area. However in June it had the opposite raised its forecast to 1.9%. For 2012 it expects growth of 1.3% against 1.7% previously.Inflation expectations remain unchanged at 2.6% this year and 1.7% next year.

The U.S. employment under the microscope

United States, several indicators of the health of the economy will fall during the session. Among them, the trade balance, weekly jobless claims and oil stocks. The consumer credit will be available after market in Europe.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday, those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at around 19 am, French time, the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy. This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth.For his part, Bush will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth. It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro fell again in the late morning at 1.4079 dollar.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115 Internet Payday loans.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Stress tests imposed on European banks have made "transparency and clarity" on the strength of their balance sheets, said Wednesday night a Treasury official in the United States.

Banks react well. Among the largest increases in Société Générale took CAC 3.72% (at 20.01 euros), BNP Paribas 4.49% (at 33.06 euros) Crédit Agricole 3.06% (at 5.92 euros).Natixis took the head of the CAC 40 (4.77% to 2.65 euros).

• Areva (-0.20% to 20.74 euros)

The French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• Gemalto (5.46% to 35.43 euros)

The title leads increases the SBF 120, the group is in the midst of "road show", between August 26 and September 15, analysts point out. The action bounces also important on a technical device, which accentuates the rise in the stock, analysts note charts.Since August 25, the title was up over 13%.

• EADS (-0.85% to 21.69 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (0.34% to 10.38 euros) and EuropaCorp (-0.91% to 3.90 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -2.20% to 26.90 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: + 0.32% to 20.55 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: + 1.73% to 67.03 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: -0.54% to 49.65 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline.U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: + 0.37% to 12.19 euros, Vivendi: -1.06% to 15.89 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million. Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

Next recommendation goes to Credit Suisse under-performance against neutral Ipsen (0.28% to 23.02 euros). Societe Generale goes with the purchase of Biomerieux (2.09% to 71.40 euros).

Since its release this summer, like the boss is indeed tarnished. In the national and international press, Arnaud Lagardère towel criticism on their sense of priorities and its presence in the group."Make me be the trial of a person who is too invested in his company who do not spend enough time, as this is the video: ridiculous! I have absolutely no lessons from anyone, "says he.

More generally, Arnaud Lagardère believes that criticism of his private life have no place: "Maybe I'm an atypical pattern, so what? Being happy in his private life is certainly a source of balance for an entrepreneur. This does not have to be dedicated and devoted to this group I love more than anything. "

Not for sale

Arnaud Lagardère advantage of this interview to refocus the debate on the strategy of his group. He says that contrary to rumors in the markets, it has no intention to separate from other assets after the sale of its international Hearst magazines."There is absolutely no discussion of ongoing sale," he slice.

Since the disappointing interim results of the group, the sounds of the show hall for sale by Lagardère of one of its four branches in order to reduce debt or invest. For each, Arnaud Lagardere denies. Including sport for the pole, which helped to seal the group's results: "While the results are not yet up to our ambitions. But I remain convinced that it will remain a growth engine for years to come. "

"I think the interests of our shareholders"

Arnaud Lagardère, however, suggests the possibility of "acquisitions of magazines in France," without further detail. The boss of media group also speaks to reinvest the cash generated from the sale of its magazines in its four branches. Efforts will be made investments on the Internet, weakness of Lagardère."In our group there was a historical culture of the paper so ingrained that it was difficult to immediately turn the digital," admits the owner of the group.

Arnaud Lagardère also a thought for shareholders who suffer the fall of the title. The action Lagardère a loss of 17.40% over a week, and nearly 38% since the beginning of the year. "The group is considering a share buyback or an extraordinary dividend. We must reward the loyalty of shareholders who support us, "said he.

Finally, in the case EADS, Arnaud Lagardere reaffirms its wish to become chairman of the board of specialist aviation despite his intention to free up capital after the exit of the A350."It was one of the express terms set by the Lagardère Group to give the first presidency in our German partners in 2007," he recalls.

"In ten years we will own 100% of our assets and will not be clear neither in aeronautics or in the distribution of foreign press," promises Arnaud Lagardère. At the Paris Stock Exchange, remarks reassure action Lagardère climbed 1.22% to 19.53 euros in a market up 0.56% to 10.40.

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The case for an entry Safran are numerous. The group was first sold 6.5 million treasury shares on the market late in July to increase its free float to more than 50%. Or the size of free float is one of the most important criteria observed by the Board for an introduction to the Cac 40.Capitalization criteria equally crucial $ 11.6 billion. Finally, the performance of the title are not negligible. The stock has gained more than 14% since August 26, while the SBF 120 index has returned just 5.6%. Since the beginning of the year, it grew by 5.4% when the SBF 120 index lost more than 12%. "There is a large consensus on this value. Safran is a great candidate, "pointed out shortly before the decision Emmanuel Besson, manager at Equity Management Ofi AM.

Suez Environnement does not leave the Cac 40

Suez Environnement was on the spot. The company, owned 35.8% by GDF-Suez and 7.2% by Groupe Bruxelles Lambert, certainly has a free float above 50% but its market capitalization of 5.88 billion, is among the lowest in the four Cac 40, with STMicroelectronics, Accor and Peugeot.In addition, the title was severely punished by investors: it shows a loss of 17.6% since the beginning of July, in line with the losses of the CAC (18% over the period).

But it Natixis, which has been designated to leave the Cac 40. It must be said that banking stocks have suffered heavily in recent weeks. The title is back in the index only a year ago and this decision "could create additional pressure on the banking at a time when we seek to appease," said Emmanuel Besson.

Before the verdict, Safran fell by 2.77% to 27.05 euros at the close, in a market down 3.59%. In turn, Natixis lost 4.57% to 2.71 euros.

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The market for sports rights is held by three giants. IMG, the world, which weighs about 1.5 billion euros of turnover, is owned by Forstmann Little and the fund would be about to be sold. The world number two with Infront is 600 million euros in turnover with, the key, an estimated gross operating margin from 10% to 15%. It beats out number three, Sportfive, bought in 2006 by the Lagardère Group for 865 million euros.Sportfive is clearly slowing, and in 2010, its activity dropped by 23% to 396 million euros.

"Infront's activity is divided into four more or less equivalent. Football with the rights of the German, Italian League (Lega Calcio) and the rights of big clubs like AC Milan, Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen. Then there are winter sports, such as [events of] the International Ski Federation, or [of] the International Federation of ice hockey. And summer sports such as volleyball, handball and basketball in China. Finally, Infront carries the audiovisual production of major events in human as well as World Cup football and the championship of France Ligue 1, "said Robert Xavier, a partner at Bridgepoint in Paris fast cash advance loan.

For an investment fund, Infront has some nice features.About 80% of its turnover is earned from January 1 and the rate of renewal of contracts with rights holders to 90%. In addition, the fund has this job because it has the past five years the Spanish company Dorna, which manages the Grand Prix motorcycle.

Disintermediation

The global market for sports rights is estimated at $ 121 billion in 2011 and that of media rights and sponsorship is $ 56 billion. If the market is still growing at a rate of 4 to 5% a year, it faces a disintermediation. "The leading licensors such as UEFA, FIFA, the International Olympic Committee have the means to directly sell their rights," says Robert Xavier.

However, Bridgepoint estimates that there are significant growth drivers for Infront. Geographically first.Very presence in Europe and Asia, Infront has yet to conquer Great Britain and South America, a continent with very dynamic football World Cup 2014 and Olympics 2016 in Brazil.

The progressive development of human-related internet sports is another area of ​​growth. Finally, Bridgepoint does not hide that he may run when the throw-in sports rights held by Sportfive far as the African Cup of Nations.

The boundary drawn between PCs and tablets no longer be needed. Laptops and the "Pad" or "Tab" to the same target audience. "The tablet is the ultimate mobile device. It will even be the first TV screen connected in homes and transportable, "predicts Christopher Aulnette, CEO of Netgem.

PC sales will continue to grow in the coming years, but at a slower pace. In the last quarter, they rose by only 2% worldwide and even dropped by 19% in Europe, according to the latest study by Gartner.PC sales have been hard hit by soaring sales of tablets. DisplaySearch fact of Apple the leading seller of laptops, PCs and by adding the shelves in the same category. HP is demoted to second place. "The slowdown in sales growth of PC is due to higher sales of tablets," said Richard Shim, senior analyst at DisplaySearch. So much so that by 2016 it is expected to sell more bars in the world of laptops. This is due to consumer demand. The PC market is still supported by demand from businesses.

The launch of the iPad, last year, PC makers were first considered this the emergence of a new market. They readily confined the tablet to the consultation content, reserving the game more "noble" computing, content creation, to the PC.It only took a few months to shake the certainties. On a daily basis, the consumer sends e-mails, watch videos, plays, reading a newspaper, surfing, photo sharing on the Internet … So many things that are perfectly feasible on a shelf, or even more easily than a laptop . Besides all uses brought by additional accessories such as holders for music.

While the tablets are not equipped with big hard drives capable of storing data. But Apple has already provided an answer to storage problems with icloud. All information can be stored on external servers. The only limit to access constantly, you need a connection worthy of the name.The tablet can connect at home Wi-Fi or outside the network via the Internet Mobile Broadband 3G.

An integrated model

Finally, the supply of tablets will continue to evolve, driven by competition among big players, Apple and Google, and their "challengers" Microsoft and RIM (BlackBerry).

"To exist on the consumer market for personal computers, must be able to sell PCs, tablets and smartphones, said Ranjit Atwal, an analyst at Gartner. The profits come from the ecosystem that results, not hardware sales. "Apple is the model. After developing the application store on iPhone and iPad, he extended the principle to the Mac.

As such, Leo Apotheker wanted to go too fast. He left no time to its operating system WebOS, or its application store, AppCatalog, to develop."The transition of a business model to another is not easy, and HP probably has overestimated the value of its brand among consumers," said Ranjit Atwal. In the last quarter, PC sales to individuals of HP fell 10%, while those companies grew by 20%.

Click the preview to enlarge the graphic.

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In addition to the sharp slowdown in the German economy, the Gross Domestic Products (GDP), Spanish and Dutch experienced a similar fate over the same period, rising by only 0.2%, respectively, and 0.1%, amid crisis debt.

In this context, the summit between Sarkozy and Merkel spent on the economic governance of the euro area is even more expected.Combined these on global markets, all eyes will be on the Elysee Palace in Paris to take place a meeting between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, to improve governance in the euro area . The two leaders will meet from 16 hours and hold a press conference around 18:30.

Investors already know that he must not expect miracles, especially not that the two largest economies in the euro zone agreed to set up Euro-bonds, which would be financially harmful to Berlin. "Do not expect anything dramatic" at the end of the meeting Monday said a spokesman for Angela Merkel, that "people expect once again a spectacular blow."It should only be to continue discussions on the governance of the euro area, following decisions taken by Heads of State and Government of the European end of July.

Operators still expect progress on this issue. "If nothing is announced, it will mean that there is a deep rift between Paris and Berlin markets can get excited again," warned Yves Marc, sales of shares in Global Equities.

Meanwhile, Asian markets have already set the tone with very mixed sessions, despite the good momentum on Wall Street, which closed yesterday on a sharp rise. Oil down with a barrel of "light sweet crude" that is losing 45 cents to 87.43 dollars and that of Brent which cedet 42 cents to 109.49 dollars.Sign of nervousness room, gold was up, quoting around 1767 dollars per ounce at the opening in Hong Kong dollars in 1744 against the previous day closing in New York.

German growth slows

In addition to the meeting, investors will be occupied by the many indicators that will be published on both sides of the Atlantic. Germany has announced a particularly sharp slowdown in growth in the second quarter. German gross domestic product (GDP) grew by only 0.1% in the second quarter compared to the first, where he still displayed an increase of 1.3%.

Economic growth also slowed in the second quarter in the euro area, 0.2% from 0.8% in the first quarter, according to data released Tuesday by the EU statistics office Eurostat.However, the euro area recorded a trade surplus of 900 million euros in June, after a surplus of 200 million in May.

In the U.S., markets will learn in the afternoon of housing starts, prices for import and export and especially of industrial production. This indicator is closely watched as markets worried about more and more sluggish growth of the world's largest economy.

Values ​​to follow

On the corporate side, the news is much thinner. Bank stocks are again followed. They fall before the meeting Sarkozy-Merkel. BNP Paribas (-1.63% to 36.91 euros), Societe Generale (-1.65% to 24.39 euros), Natixis (-2.34% to 3.04 euros), AXA (-1.69 % to 11.05 euros), Credit Agricole (-0.95% to 6.67 euros) take the rating down.

GDF Suez (-2.27% to 20.42 euros) is added to the list of preferred values ​​of UBS.

EADS (-2.50% to 21.46 euros): Russian Transaero airline will buy 12 Airbus A320. Qantas has in turn announced the purchase of 110 Airbus A320s and the deferral of delivery of six Airbus A380 jumbo jets.