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French football is in danger

French football is facing a serious crisis. This is not a scoop, but the announcement of the record deficit of 180 million euros of professional clubs, including 140 million for the Ligue 1 confirm that it is time for professional clubs to roll up your sleeves. The deficit can not be filled solely by television rights, which represent between 50% and 80% of revenues French professional clubs, the objective is to generate revenue differently.

Sponsorship, ticketing, derivatives are all growth drivers for which France is lagging behind its European neighbors. "The Italian model is télédépendant, the Spanish club works with the assessment of the socios, the English clubs is very balanced between TV rights and ticket sales, such as German clubs who comes close," says Vincent warmShe, expert in sports department of Ineum Consulting.The French clubs, meanwhile, have historically focused their efforts on the sporting side, including the purchase or sale of players. However, the basis of any economic model in football is to have a stadium that can generate other revenue. "

Meanwhile Euro 2016

Several clubs are advancing on this issue in particular to the organization of Euro 2016. 1.7 billion euros were invested in the construction of four stadiums (Lille, Lyon, Nice and Bordeaux) and the renovation of eight (Paris, Lens, Toulouse, Saint-Etienne, Nancy, Saint-Denis, Strasbourg and Marseille ). 61% of this amount will be financed by the private sector. According to a study published by the specialist sports marketing and sponsorship, Sportfive, these renovations will generate 183 million euros in additional revenue annually for the French professional clubs."Unlike 1998, when two thirds of the total amount had been invested in the Stade de France for Euro 2016, the sum will be invested in various stages of Ligue 1. This does not mean that it will be 2016 to see the return on investment of this event, but probably two or three years, "said Vincent warmShe.

Meanwhile, an increase in revenue, French clubs are left to wish for a better management of expenditure of Spanish clubs, English or Italian. Hence the idea of financial fair play, which will be implemented in two years. They also hope the state will reduce their tax burdens. In vain. The French clubs will happen for example the exemption of 30% due to the image rights group.

"An alarming situation"

Less revenue, and therefore, if financial fair play will be implemented, less cost for French football.Our business model is in danger? "I do not think, but he went through a difficult period. Moreover, the French football is currently adapting its business model, but the process starts up slowly, because, unlike their European counterparts, most French clubs do not own their stadium and have yet to facing some opposition at the local level, "he says. Frederic Thiriez, the president of the Professional Football League, usually optimistic, yet cowardly: "The situation is alarming.And even if the net loss of French football is closer to the individual losses of some clubs in English or Spanish, by themselves superior to our deficit, and that the French clubs' debt of 140 million euros compared to three billion accumulated debt of Spanish clubs or four billion of English football. "

Germany as an example

It is understood that football is above all a show. And to provide the best entertainment club must both retain its best players and other hand acquire new just as good. But this model is viable only if the team acquires shares in question, particularly in Europe. However, no French club has won the European Cup from Marseille and PSG in the 90s … "The example shows that Tottenham can generate a lot of money without being European frequently.Again, the problem "stage" is paramount. In England, it was perfectly resolved. This does not prevent that some English clubs have suffered the brunt of the crisis. It would not surprise me that the German football compete more seriously come to English football in two or three years. It generates more revenue from commercial and brings more people into the stadiums. Rest TV rights, "said Vincent warmShe.

Anyway, it is time that the French clubs are considering setting up a new business model, less dependent on television rights, which could also decrease with the possible withdrawal of Orange, and linked to other stadium revenue by a real living. "There is no miracle solution, concludes an expert. We must proceed gradually on each file (stadiums, financial fair play, sponsorship, taxation …)».The organization of Euro 2016 with the construction of new stadiums that will be a turning point.

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  • Rollaway odd jobs "black" companies "forget" to declare certain benefits … The small and big tricks to earn more without paying taxes or social security in developed countries are becoming increasingly common thanks to crisis. In escaping the state controls, individuals like firms engage in what economists call the informal economy, or underground.

    "Because of the economic crisis, the shadow economy in 2010 will have increased in developed countries, after rising in 2009, wrote in a recent study by Friedrich Schneider, Austrian economist and specialist in the informal economy. According to his calculations, the share of the unofficial economy in the gross domestic product (GDP) in OECD countries rose by 13.3% in 2008 to 14% in 2010.In France, this ratio increased from 11.1% to 11.7%.

    The increase may seem small, but it puts an end to the downward trend going back to the late 1990s. The Baltic and Mediterranean European countries experiencing the highest ratios. The shadow economy represents 25% of GDP in Greece and around 40% in Latvia and Estonia, as the work of Schneider. So many countries where the crisis hit harder than elsewhere.

    To compensate for loss of income

    Job losses, layoffs … revenue base with the crisis. "Many people try to compensate for their declining revenues through greater participation in informal transactions," says Friedrich Schneider.Among the top sectors fueling the underground economy, are the building trades and crafts, including the restoration, "he observes.

    The underground economy is not always a bad thing. "I think the increase in informal activities during a crisis can avoid a recession even greater," said Friedrich Schneider. "Individuals and businesses earn more money, they can spend in the formal economy."

    Fraud Investigations

    In the Directorate of Legislation, recovery and service (Dirr), we measure the effects of the crisis on French companies thanks to anti-fraud investigations conducted in 2009. "A society that has problems is more likely to be in violation," said executive vice president of control, Jean-Michel Guerra.

    To avoid bloodshed, but the controllers have been instructed to be conciliatory. The time granted in 2009 to companies in trouble when adjustments on previous years, usually stable, jumped 58%. Still, delinquencies have increased during the recovery of a half point, to 1.45%, from 12.5 billion euros.

    One last figure: last year, the number of minutes prepared for working illegally jumped 27%, in part, it is true, thanks to control operations more focused and more frequent. The crisis should be felt in the figures of the anti-fraud encopre for several years. The controls on the activities of companies are indeed made for two to three years thereafter.

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  • Public debt: a back pressure

    Reduce your deficit or it will cost you! The warning has been launched by the most influential rating agencies, Standard & Poor's, the world's largest economy, the United States. The head of state in the notation "S & P, John Chambers, Thursday launched a thinly veiled threat to the U.S. Congress for rejecting measures to reduce the deficit, then the notes of the United States, the prestigious" Triple A "could be questioned.

    The words of John Chambers, who presides over the rating of 118 countries, have weight. When Standard & Poor's lowers a note means that the state has more chance of bad repay its debts. The investor who buys debt of this state in the form of bonds, then will demand higher interest rates corresponding to the greatest risk. Ultimately, this greatly increases the cost of debt management for the country.

    Rigor required

    While the return approach, the warnings from rating agencies are increasing. The moment is critical: it is between September and December that states buckle their budgets for the coming year. France, recently lectured by the rating agency Moody's, in a report on the countries rated, has already introduced measures of rigor.

    In the "Triple A", London is also in the crosshairs of Standard & Poor's. The notes of the United Kingdom is already "on negative watch" last step before a possible degradation. Despite an initial austerity plan in place before the summer, the government of James Cameron should show "a little more determination to fight against the deficit" in the next budget review in October, said John Chambers faxless payday advance .

    How the states will fail

    The austerity measures already submitted or planned do not really reassure the markets. In a note titled "Do not ask if the states will fail, but rather how," the U.S. bank Morgan Stanley, is sounding the alarm. Developed countries already burdened by debt levels as they can not take all their commitments, warns the author of the note, Arnaud Mares.

    Pensioners, benefit recipients or taxpayers will be affected by the plans of rigor. "It would be dangerously optimistic to believe that in this context, investors will remain forever protected against loss of income that will affect everyone," said Arnaud Mares.

    According to this former analyst at Moody's, the states will not officially bankrupt. They rather use "the financial oppression."Specifically, holders of government bonds will be subject to interest rates artificially low or downright negative, ie less than inflation.

    Scoring Criteria

    To determine a rating, a rating agency monitors both the debt level and growth of the country. If the debt is high and growth is weak, the state will have more difficulty in meeting its commitments vis-à-vis investors. On the one hand because the burden of repayments will weigh too large a share in its budget. On the other hand, because it may raise less taxes in times of prosperity, income taxes depending on the health of businesses and households.

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  • The CAC 40, which again closed lower Wednesday on a clear, up the hill on Thursday. At the opening, the leading index in Paris climbed 1.17% to 3490.75 points before losing some points. At 14:30, the weekly listings in the U.S. fell better than expected. This has enabled the European indices to find the beautiful colors of this morning, as Wall Street opened up, at 15:30.

    But the final minutes of the meeting were heckled. In the end, the CAC 40 nonetheless grabbed 0.72% to 3475.03 points. In London, the FTSE fell back 0.9% to 5155 points.

    The European markets have relied on the surge on Wall Street Wednesday, but also on redemptions cheap. The NYSE has erased its losses late in the session to close up 0.2%.A technical rebound which was conducted in a context of bad macro news (sales of new homes in July after falling sales in the former, smaller increase than expected orders for durable goods). The Paris markets will also be comforted by Asia which has borrowed the same road this morning as Wall Street.

    Side currencies, the euro remains strong against the dollar. One euro is worth 1.2717 dollars (0.51%).

    The Paris markets have also reacted to the small decline in unemployment in France in July, fell after the market closes Wednesday. More importantly, they welcomed the battery results fell before the opening.

    Accor flies, Gemalto tumbles

    Wednesday, L'Oreal (3.88% to 78.71 euros, the biggest increase CAC 40) has announced an operating profit up sharply in the first half and higher expectations.This performance allows the number one global cosmetics find a level of operating margin similar to the record first half of 2008.

    After his former branch of service Edenred, Accor issued this morning. The group announced a net loss for the first half of 64 million euros against a loss of 236 million a year earlier. Despite very conservative outlook, the stock market welcomed the performance: Accor shares took 2nd place in the ACC with an increase of 3.66% to 24.36 euros.

    Credit Agricole has reported a net profit of 379 million euros in the second quarter, well above the 280 million expected by the markets. Net revenue reached 5.469 billion euros and the cost of risk fell by 13%.Again, the stock appreciates: the titles are among the highest increases with a jump of 2.63% to 10.16 euros.

    L'Oreal and Total (0.05% to 36.99 euros), major shareholders of Sanofi-Aventis (+0.13% at 44.66 euros) would otherwise be reserved on the proposed acquisition of Genzyme, fearing that French pharmaceutical group pays its target too expensive, said Wednesday the banking sources told Reuters.

    Bureau Veritas (2.68% to 46.6 euros) announced adjusted net income Group share up 8.9% to 149.5 million euros in the first half. Turnover was up 1.5% to 1.349 billion euros.The group aims to increase its sales in the second half of the order of 10% and expects a "slight increase" in operating margin over the full year 2010 on the current scope.

    Gemalto has reported net earnings fell to 63 million euros in the first half and sales of 840 million euros, up 5%. The group said banking on accelerated growth in the second half, with a turnover of over one billion euros over the period. The title has sold 3.19% to 28.51 euros.

    BioAlliance Pharma (3.18% to 6.16 euros) has received European agencies agreed in principle on the filing in mid-2011 the registration dossier of the drug against herpes labialis. The laboratory recorded a strong increase in its turnover in the first half and a net positive.

    Bongrain, Lagardère, Stallergenes Etam and publish after the market closes.

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  • Competing with Facebook, which has 500 million active members, is more complicated for the historical actors of the Web. The Internet giants are addressing one of the pillars of its success, the online gaming community oriented, "Social gaming", which Farmville is the most important representative. First application on Facebook with over 59.6 million active players per month on the famous social network (and 230 million total), Farmville is published by Zynga, a U.S. start-up founded in 2007. In recent weeks, the latter fuels the greed of major Internet groups.

    At the end of last week, the Japanese telecoms group Softbank and formalized an investment of 150 million dollars in Zynga.It is accompanied by the creation of Zynga Japan as a joint venture, whose aim is to convert users of the Archipelago to the "social gaming" while Zynga benefit from the expertise of his partner in Nippon mobile Internet , Eldorado for future online services. Masayoshi Son, Softbank's CEO, welcomed the collaboration point of departure for the creation of "a gigantic social gaming in Japan.

    The announcement comes shortly after the official unveiling by the blog Techcrunch specialist, an investment of Google in the same start-up to an amount between 100 and 200 million dollars. At half-word, the Google CEO Eric Schmidt has confirmed this agreement in an interview with the Wall Street Journal. "We have not announced, but you can expect to partner with Zynga," he said.This will be crucial for launching the Google Games, a social network based online game giant online search would be developing. In addition to these equity investments, Zynga has signed agreements with editorials Facebook and Yahoo! Last May by which its games are broadcast to a wide audience.

    Valued at 4.5 billion

    Selling virtual goods in its games, Zynga have generated 350 million dollars since the beginning of the year, with half operating profit. In 2011, its revenues could reach one billion dollars.Another indicator of investor confidence: Zynga has surpassed the 100 million players in just two and a half years, when it took four and a half years to Facebook to pass this course.

    Start-up of more than 600 employees, Zynga announced so far have raised $ 219 million in four rounds. Its first fund in February 2008, amounted to 10 million dollars. Zynga then publishes the poker game Texas Hold'em on Facebook. In July 2008, another round table that will raise 29 million dollars. Zynga is beginning to diversify its offer and in April 2009, is the leading application on Facebook with 40 million active users. Launched in June of that year becomes Farmville August 2009 the first game on Facebook to cross the milestone of 10 million players.Finally, last December, the Russian fund Digital Sky Technologies, also a shareholder of Facebook, participating in a new fundraiser, Tiger Global, Institutional Venture Partners and Andreessen Horowitz, for a total of 180 million dollars. With today an investment of over $ 520 million, valuing Zynga have reached 4.5 billion dollars.

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    "Conflict of interest around the" social gaming "

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  • A touch pad to $ 35 in India

    The Indians had the Nano, the cheapest car in the world. The students in the country, they are in primary school or university, may affect next year shelf fourteen times less expensive than Apple iPad. Thursday, Minister of Human Resources and Development, Kapil Sibal, presented a prototype computer only 35 dollars (27 euros). "This is part of a national initiative to advance education," said the minister, warning that "the solutions for tomorrow will come from India."

    The announced $ 35 nonetheless remains entirely at the cost of the final product, but at the cost of all its parts. What remains still far from the $ 235 materials included in the first iPad, according to estimates from iSuppli. To reach this amount, the Indian teams have bet on free software and a more conventional design.The Indian touch pad will have 2 GB of memory, Wi-Fi and USB ports. It will have video conferencing capabilities, will be able to read most common office formats, PDFs and video, and of course surf the Internet. An optional solar charging was also discussed. In parallel, broadband will be installed in all the 22,000 Indian colleges.

    "Our response to the computer to $ 100"

    With this initiative, the Indian government seeks to empower the world's most modern educational No checking account payday advance. The literacy rate in the country remains 63% below those of other developing countries. But the achievement also sounds like a technological challenge launched in the United States.The Indian shelf was designed by a group of academics, after that IT groups have shown little enthusiasm for such a project. "This is our response to the $ 100 computer at MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), launched by the Minister Kapil Sibal said, referring to the U.S. initiative" One Laptop per Child ", whose price has finally doubled because of difficulties of large-scale production.

    With this initiative, India does not want to experience the same disappointments. Kapil Sibal assures that the tablet is already "real and tangible. India is currently negotiating with several subcontractors to begin mass production. One million computers should be produced during the first phase of launch. The deployment will begin in the universities, before being extended to primary and secondary.The government could finance the purchase of computers by 50%. Ultimately, the goal is to reduce the cost only ten dollars.

    The video presentation of the tablet:

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  • The U.S. stock market should take another step forward Tuesday. The index futures are predicting an opening up U.S. markets. Future Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 advancing in effect respectively by 0.43% to 1081.20 points from 0.55% to 1 830.25 points. The night before, after long hesitation which direction to take, the New York Stock Exchange finished the session up into smaller, undecided before the start of the season results with the aluminum producer Alcoa. The Dow Jones gleaned 0.18% to 10 216.27 points and the Nasdaq 0.09% at 2 198.36 points.The broader index Standard & Poor's 500 index of leading his side to finish by 0.07% to 1 078.75 points.

    On the foreign exchange market, the euro dropped sharply against the dollar Tuesday, weighed down by the lowering of the sovereign rating of Portugal in the ratings agency Moody's, which relaunched the concerns about the fiscal health of the member countries of the euro area .

    On the side of macroeconomic indicators, the U.S. Department of Commerce must publish the figures for trade balance in May while the Treasury will unveil the state of the U.S. budget.

    Publications for

    On the side of values, Alcoa started the ball rolling quarterly results yesterday after the close of the NYSE. The group returned in the green in the second quarter, with net income of $ 136 million, against a loss of $ 454 million a year earlier, and expressed "great prospects".For a year, Alcoa had recorded one quarter in the green, in summer 2009, but the whole of 2009 was marked by a heavy loss to the tune of $ 1.15 billion .

    Always on the side of values, the burst of U.S. results will continue this week with the technology companies Google, Advanced Micro Devices or Intel and banks JPMorgan and Bank of America. Citigroup and General Electric will unveil their findings Friday.

    Also note, a hedge fund, the fund Cambridge, filed a complaint against Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and ten other banks in the hope of recovering lost $ 1.2 billion in securities backed by mortgages subprime .

    The internet group Google on Monday launched a new tool, "App Inventor", which should allow all users to create their own applications

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  • More and more voices against the euro. Most recently, the CEO of Maurel and Prom and former banker has lambasted the single currency in an interview with La Tribune. Jean-Francois Henin does not beat around the bush, he said "Europe is dying by inches of its single currency.

    The officer believes that Europe will not end the crisis without a significant depreciation of its currency. The skipper and evokes "a level of parity of 0.6 to the dollar" before adding "not the European Central Bank will not accept it." In fact, the latter expressed doubts about the fact that the euro can survive the crisis "which is just beginning," he said free 3-in-1 credit report.

    Redeployment of "onshore"

    Regarding the consequences of the spill, the leader of the French oil major said the companies are counting on a redeployment of oil production on land at the expense of offshore in the Gulf of Mexico.

    He suggested that no oil company is no longer able to "face the financial consequences of possible ecological damage. He said he expected consequences for production "in the years 2015/2020. "This should bring up to date the theory of" peak oil production ceiling, "said he.

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  • The U.S. stock markets opened around the balance on Friday. LLE Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell back in effect respectively from 0.07% to 1069 points and 0.11% to 2173 points. The Dow Jones, it is at equilibrium aprfait 10,139 points.

    A few days before the opening of the ball half-year results, investors play the card of caution. Within the Dow, the ball will begin, starting Monday with numbers from Alcoa.

    On Thursday, the NYSE has lined up a third session. The Dow Jones gained 1.20% 10,138.99 points and the Nasdaq 0.74% to 2175.40 points.

    In particular, investors welcomed the drop in unemployment last week. Registrations fell to their lowest level since early May, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. A relief after the disappointment on the monthly figures of employment.Other good news, the International Monetary Fund has excluded the possibility of a new global recession, despite the turbulence on the financial sector by a less stable. He even raised its growth forecast for 2010 to 4.6% against 4.2% estimated in April.

    On the foreign exchange market, the euro was weakening against the dollar after a flight the day before. The euro hit a high for two months and passed a symbolic milestone strong, exceeding the $ 1.27 100% free credit score. The European currency, benefiting from renewed optimism over the health of banks on the old continent.

    Today, U.S. investors expect stocks to wholesalers for the month of May

    On the side of values, the title of Britain's BP, quoted in London and on Wall Street is particularly rowdy: -1.66% to 33.2 follar.The U.S. government Thursday gave the company 24 hours to discuss her new device designed to contain the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.

    Always on the side of values, the U.S. producer of industrial gases Air Products announced Thursday it increased its bid for rival Airgas, whose level was deemed insufficient by its target. The group is now offering 63.50 dollars per share in cash, instead of $ 60 proposed in February, a total of some 5.3 billion dollars.

    Note also the media giant Disney (0.57% to 33.5 U.S. dollars) have reached an agreement in principle to sell the film studio Miramax in a consortium including the fund Colony Capital, said Thursday night the Los Angeles Times, referring to a transaction of approximately $ 650 million.

    Boeing (+0.17% to 64.84 dollars) has submitted its bid for ravitalleurs.EADS has filed its case yesterday.

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  • While industrial countries emerging from crisis levels weighted with historically high public debt, emerging markets display patterns much healthier. Their good resistance during the recession of 2009 and an underlying trend towards greater stability has attracted the interest of investors.

    "We see a positive snowball effect on emerging market debt: a dozen countries have been under positive outlook by rating agencies, which herald a recovery of notes, analytical Anne-Sophie Girault, a specialist in this Market Aviva Investors. Moody's, Standard & Poor's and others see a positive view of the low debt ratio of developing countries, which averages less than 40% of gross domestic product. Twice as less developed countries.

    The emerging markets have also gained credibility in the markets."They have improved their fundamentals, the local central banks are becoming more independent, inflation is under control and steering of public finances is good," Frank J. Nicolas, Natixis AM. And the economic outlook is much better than in Europe, for example.

    Result: institutional investors have been interested for nearly ten months to market, providing stability. They take long positions. So far, only hedge funds were present in the short term, making the market very volatile. Today, the market is 360 billion of debt issued in dollars and 1.4 trillion dollars of debt issued in local currency.

    Record demand

    In this context, the demand for emerging market debt from the investment fund has beaten all records in the first half, according to the calculations of Aviva.At $ 31 billion, it almost reaches the levels of previous years in just five months.

    Emerging now are they safe? "These are pseudo-safe investments," says Franck Nicolas. "Beware of Loved tobacco." Clearly, the emerging countries are always a risk of sudden reversal of the situation. And if their fundamentals, growth, inflation, debt-positive, "markets, very nervous now, can still cause a contagion" of the debt crisis in emerging countries, recognizes Anne-Sophie Girault.

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